Saturday, May 18, 2019

@22:12, , 5/12/19

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1

Barr Again Casts Doubt on Russia Inquiry’s Origins, Aligning With Trump’s Attacks

CHARLIE SAVAGE at NYT > Politics - 1 hour ago
Mr. Barr said his review of the investigation has turned up “inadequate” answers. But some former officials expressed concern he was deliberately undercutting it.
 
Barr will speak as he is instructed to speak.
 

U.S. Officials Say Iran Has Removed Missile Threat From Some Boats

ERIC SCHMITT at NYT > Politics - 1 hour ago
Missiles have been unloaded from at least two small boats in Iranian waters, a move that American officials said could help defuse a brewing confrontation.
 
Trump does not do diplomacy.
 

Unita Blackwell, 68, Dies; Rights Crusader and Winner of Historic Election

KATHARINE Q. SEELYE at NYT > Politics - 1 hour ago
A sharecropper’s daughter, she joined the voter-registration fight before becoming the first black woman elected a mayor in Mississippi.
 
Life is still hard for blacks in Mississippi. 
 

Former C.I.A. Officer Sentenced to 20 Years After Spying for China

ADAM GOLDMAN at NYT > Politics - 1 hour ago
The sentencing brings to a close one of several high-profile cases involving Chinese attempts to recruit former American intelligence officers.
 
The Republican party continues to search for reds under beds.
 

Jim Jordan Claims Vindication, but Inquiry Says Talk of Abuse at Ohio State Was Rampant

CATIE EDMONDSON at NYT > Politics - 1 hour ago
An investigation into a team doctor’s sexual abuse found no hard evidence that coaches like Mr. Jordan knew, but it said dozens of other coaches acknowledged rumors of the doctor’s predatory behavior.
 
The authorities would not prosecute without documentary evidence.
 

After Alabama Abortion Law, 3 Democrats Propose a New Strategy

MAGGIE ASTOR at NYT > Politics - 1 hour ago
Senators Cory Booker, Kirsten Gillibrand and Elizabeth Warren are taking an aggressive approach in a debate whose terms have long been set by conservatives.
 
I would like to see the end of opposition to abortion on demand.
A woman can bear a child or abort a fetus without oversight.
 

De Blasio Once Ignored Trump. But in Iowa, It Was All Trump.

JEFFERY C. MAYS at NYT > Politics - 1 hour ago
The mayor made his first trip to Iowa as a presidential candidate, showing off his new focus on criticizing Mr. Trump.
 
Opposition to Trump is not enough.
 

Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in April

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 2 hours ago
From housing economist Tom Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in April Based on publicly-available local realtor/MLS reports released across the country through today, I project that* existing home sales as estimated by the National Association of Realtors ran at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.31 million in April*, up 1.9% from March’s preliminary estimate (which was below what state and local realtor data would have suggested), and down 2.2% from last April’s seasonally adjusted pace. Unadjusted sales last month should be relatively flat from last April, with the SA/... more » 
 
It is spring.
 

Trump’s Financial Disclosure Form: Five Takeaways

ERIC LIPTON and STEVE EDER at NYT > Politics - 3 hours ago
The president’s family business had a down year in 2018. A close look at the numbers shows how politics, among other factors, is affecting his hotels, golf courses and other properties.
 
Trump is not doing well. 
 
10 

What Trump Got Wrong on the Investigations Into Michael Flynn

EILEEN SULLIVAN at NYT > Politics - 3 hours ago
The president said he could not have known Mr. Flynn was under investigation. But Mr. Flynn himself revealed it to a top Trump aide, and others warned Mr. Trump about him.
 
Trump does not listen. 
 
11 

The Sanders-AOC Bill to Cap Interest Rates At 15% Is Too Little

Ian Welsh at Ian Welsh - 5 hours ago
All right, let’s get this out of the way: it’s better than the status quo. But most credit card interest rates are about 20% or so, so this is about a 5% decrease. Twenty percent is already insane. Given that banks have access to money, right now, at a little over 2.5% or so and […]
 
"A chicken in every pot"
 
Ian Welsh is correct.
 
12 

Steven Mnuchin Refuses to Comply With Subpoena for Trump’s Tax Returns

ALAN RAPPEPORT and NICHOLAS FANDOS at NYT > Politics - 5 hours ago
The rejection by the Treasury secretary is most likely the last move before the fight heads to court.
 
Mnuchin has instructions from above.
 
13 

News Analysis: To Contain Iran, Trump’s Newest Line in the Sand Looks a Lot Like Obama’s

DAVID E. SANGER at NYT > Politics - 5 hours ago
Embracing a one-year “breakout” period — a time limit on Iran’s ability to make fuel for a nuclear bomb — was at the heart of the 2015 accord that the U.S. left in May 2018.
 
Trump does not listen.
 
14 

Sacramento Housing in April: Sales Down 6% YoY, Active Inventory up slightly YoY

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 7 hours ago
The Sacramento Housing Statistics: 1) Overall sales increased to 1,496 in April, down from 1,587 in April 2018. Sales were up 13.3% from March 2019 (last month), and down 5.7% from April 2018. 2) Active inventory was at 2,094, up from 2,082 in April 2018. That is up slightly, 0.6% year-over-year. This is the nineteenth consecutive month with a YoY increase in active inventory. Inventory is still low - months of inventory is at 1.4 months, probably closer to 4 months would be normal.
 
CR can't think down. 
 
15 

House Equality Act Extends Civil Rights Protections to Gay and Transgender People

CATIE EDMONDSON at NYT > Politics - 7 hours ago
The House passed legislation prohibiting discrimination on the basis of sexual orientation and gender identity, but the White House and Republican Senate oppose it.
 
Trump and the senate oppose everything they did not require. 
 
16 

Q2 GDP Forecasts: 1% to 2%

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 9 hours ago
From Merrill Lynch: Based on the latest high frequency data, *2Q GDP is already tracking only 1.8%*, down 0.3pp from our prior forecast. [May 17 estimate] emphasis added From the NY Fed Nowcasting Report The New York Fed Staff Nowcast stands at *1.8% for 2019:Q2*. [May 17 estimate]. And from the Altanta Fed: GDPNow The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the *second quarter of 2019 is 1.2 percent* on May 16, up from 1.1 percent on May 15. [May 16 estimate] CR Note: These early estimates suggest real GDP growth will be under 2% annualize... more » 
 
These are not great numbers.  
 
17

Trump Lifts Metal Tariffs and Delays Auto Levies, Limiting Global Trade Fight

ANA SWANSON at NYT > Politics - 9 hours ago
President Trump said he would remove metal tariffs on Canada and Mexico and delay auto tariffs, stepping back from opening another front in a global trade war.
 
Even Trump resists trade isolation. 
 
18 

Kirsten Gillibrand Is Struggling. Will Abortion Rights Be Her Rallying Cry?

SHANE GOLDMACHER at NYT > Politics - 9 hours ago
The New York senator is mired near the bottom of most polls but hopes to jump-start her campaign and fund-raising as she aggressively criticizes anti-abortion laws in Alabama and other states.
 
Kirsten Gillibrand may have to be a senator.
she has no ready replacement.
 
19   

Pelosi Suggests Using ‘Impeachment as a Purpose’ to Investigate

NYT > Politics - 9 hours ago
During a news conference, Speaker Nancy Pelosi said that House Democrats could use an impeachment inquiry as a way to obtain documents and testimony from Trump administration officials.
 
Impeachment is a solid reason to investigate.
 
20 

Guaidó Officials Rally at Venezuelan Embassy in Washington as a Stalemate Ends

ZACH MONTAGUE at NYT > Politics - 9 hours ago
The police arrested activists who had occupied the embassy since April, allowing diplomats representing the Venezuelan opposition leader Juan Guaidó into the building.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Code_Pink

These activists can find another platform.

Getting arrested is usually effective.

Having a popular cause is a nuisance.

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