Thursday, May 16, 2019

@19:00, , 5/15/19

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1

Trump Immigration Plan Emphasizes Immigrants’ Skills Over Family Ties

MICHAEL D. SHEAR at NYT > Politics - 1 hour ago
The plan, to be unveiled Thursday, will significantly scale back family-based immigration and increase the educational and skills requirements to move to the United States.
 
Comodity skills.
 

White House Again Rejects Democrats’ Requests for Documents in Corruption Inquiry

MAGGIE HABERMAN and NICHOLAS FANDOS at NYT > Politics - 1 hour ago
The letter from the White House counsel, Pat Cipollone, argues that Congress was not a law enforcement body and doesn’t have the standing to investigate the president.
 
A rubber stamp. 
 

Deaths of Despair Soar In the UK

Ian Welsh at Ian Welsh - 2 hours ago
But hey, who can imagine why so many Britons were so angry at the status quo that they decided to chance Brexit. Deaths of despair – suicide, alcohol abuse and drug overdoses – have now overtaken heart disease as the second biggest killer of middle aged people in the UK. Shocking revelation from Sir Angus […]
 
Ian Welsh hurts.
 

Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Declines in April

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 2 hours ago
From Dodge Data Analytics: Dodge Momentum Index Dips in April *The Dodge Momentum Index fell 0.5% in April* to 144.3 (2000=100) from the revised March reading of 145.1. The Momentum Index, issued by Dodge Data & Analytics, is a monthly measure of the first (or initial) report for nonresidential building projects in planning, which have been shown to lead construction spending for nonresidential buildings by a full year. The retreat in April was the result of the commercial component falling 1.0% while the institutional component rose a scant 0.2%. The Momentum Index has clearly lost... more » 
 
Just a little.
 

Alabama Aims Squarely at Roe, but the Supreme Court May Prefer Glancing Blows

ADAM LIPTAK at NYT > Politics - 3 hours ago
The court’s conservative majority may prefer to chip away at abortion rights rather than overrule Roe outright.
 
Adam Liptak trying to read minds. 
No one is good at it.
 

Joe Biden, Campaigning in New Hampshire, Straddles Past and Present

KATIE GLUECK at NYT > Politics - 3 hours ago
Mr. Biden’s warm, unhurried, feel-your-pain approach to campaigning frequently delighted potential voters. But his style and remarks also ran the risk of appearing dated.
 
Compromie is not possible with the Republican party.
 

Trump Administration Balks at Global Pact to Crack Down on Online Extremism

ADAM SATARIANO at NYT > Politics - 5 hours ago
Citing American’s free speech protections, the administration said it would not endorse the ‘Christchurch Call,’ which urges major online platforms to eradicate violent and extremist content.
 
Online extremism is the failure of curriculum.
 Fix the problem; not the symptom.

F.A.A. Chief Defends Boeing Certification Process at House Hearing

GLENN THRUSH at NYT > Politics - 5 hours ago
Daniel Elwell said the process by which Boeing employees inspected their own aircraft, including the now-grounded Boeing 737 Max airplane, was “a good system.”
 
Denial.
 

U.S., Mexico and Canada Near Deal on Metal Tariffs, Mnuchin Says

ALAN RAPPEPORT at NYT > Politics - 5 hours ago
A potential thaw in trade relations comes as tension between the United States and China grows.
 
Mnuchin has a record of lying.
 
10 

Retail Sales decreased 0.2% in April

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 6 hours ago
On a monthly basis, retail sales decreased 0.2 percent from March to April (seasonally adjusted), and sales were up 3.1 percent from April 2018. From the Census Bureau report: Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for April 2019, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $513.4 billion, a decrease of 0.2 percent from the previous month, but 3.1 percent above April 2018. Total sales for the February 2019 through April 2019 period were up 3.0 percent from the same period a year ago. The February 2019 to ... more » 
 
Slipping 
 
11

U.S. Births decreased in 2018, "Lowest number of births in 32 years"

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 6 hours ago
From the National Center for Health Statistics: Births: Provisional Data for 2018. The NCHS reports: The provisional number of births for the United States in 2018 was 3,788,235, down 2% from 2017 and the lowest number of births in 32 years. The general fertility rate was 59.0 births per 1,000 women aged 15–44, down 2% from 2017 and another record low for the United States. The total fertility rate declined 2% to 1,728.0 births per 1,000 women in 2018, another record low for the nation. Birth rates declined for nearly all age groups of women under 35, but rose for women in their lat... more » 
 
Children are more of a burden.
 
12 

2020 Democrats Condemn Alabama Abortion Bill: ‘This Is a War on Women’

MATT STEVENS at NYT > Politics - 6 hours ago
Democratic presidential candidates vowed to challenge the bill, which is the most far-reaching effort in the nation this year to curb abortion rights.
 
Yes.
 
13 

NAHB: "Builder Confidence Posts Solid Gain in May"

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 8 hours ago
The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) reported the housing market index (HMI) was at 66 in May, up from 63 in April. Any number above 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as good than poor. From NAHB: Builder Confidence Posts Solid Gain in May *Builder confidence in the market for newly-built single-family homes rose three points to 66 in May*, according to the latest National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) released today. Builder sentiment is at its highest level since October 2018. “Builders are busy catching up afte... more » 
 
The trend is downward.
 
14 

Industrial Production Decreased 0.5% in April

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 9 hours ago
From the Fed: Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization *Industrial production fell 0.5 percent in April*, and the rates of change for previous months were revised down on net. *Output is now reported to have declined 1.9 percent at an annual rate in the first quarter*. Manufacturing production moved down 0.5 percent in April after being unchanged in March. The index for mining advanced 1.6 percent in April, while the index for utilities fell 3.5 percent. At 109.2 percent of its 2012 average, total industrial production was 0.9 percent higher in April than it was a year earlier... more » 
 
Slipping.
 
15 

NY Fed: Manufacturing "Business activity picked up significantly in New York State"

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 10 hours ago
From the NY Fed: Empire State Manufacturing Survey Business activity picked up significantly in New York State, according to firms responding to the May 2019 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. *The headline general business conditions index climbed eight points to 17.8, its highest level in six months*. New orders and shipments also grew at a faster pace than in recent months. Delivery times held steady, and inventories moved slightly lower. Labor market indicators pointed to small increases in employment and hours worked. *The index for number of employees fell seven points to 4.... more » 
 
Much of the business is debt.
 
16 

Greek Anarchists Vandalize U.S. Ambassador’s Home

NIKI KITSANTONIS at NYT > Politics - 11 hours ago
An anarchist group called Rouvikonas claimed responsibility, saying it was acting in solidarity with an imprisoned hit man for a now-defunct terrorist group.
 
The anarchists need a target. 
Germany would be a better one.
 
17 

MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Latest Weekly Survey

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 11 hours ago
From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey Mortgage applications decreased 0.6 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending May 10, 2019. ... The Refinance Index decreased 1 percent from the previous week. *The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index decreased 1 percent from one week earlier*. The unadjusted Purchase Index decreased 1 percent compared with the previous week and was *7 percent higher than the same week one year ago* . ... “Purchase applica... more » 
 
Slipping.
 
18 

6 Things That Calendars From the Special Counsel’s Office Tell Us

ADAM GOLDMAN, MICHAEL S. SCHMIDT and NOAH WEILAND at NYT > Politics - 13 hours ago
The Mueller team got to work quickly, newly disclosed calendars show. But prosecutors made time for cake, too.
 
They do not tell enough. 
 
19 

A Keystone-Like Pipeline Opens Fierce Battle Over New York’s ‘Energy Future’

VIVIAN WANG and MICHAEL ADNO at NYT > Politics - 13 hours ago
The Cuomo administration must decide before Thursday whether to approve a new natural gas pipeline that environmentalists say would harm the area’s waters.
 
wait for the science.
 
20 

White House Memo: High Season at Mar-a-Lago Is Over, but Concern Over Security Lingers

KATIE ROGERS and FRANCES ROBLES at NYT > Politics - 13 hours ago
Episodes at the club this winter produced more evidence of what intelligence experts regard as President Trump’s lax attitude toward security.
 
There is no news in this.
 
 
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