Tuesday, May 21, 2019

@19:24, , 5/21/19

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1

Albany Closes a Loophole for Trump Pardons. Next Up: His Taxes.

JESSE McKINLEY at NYT > Politics - 26 minutes ago
The Legislature is poised to pass a bill that would allow three congressional committees to seek the release of President Trump’s state tax returns.
 
Hurry and pass these laws.  They appear constitutional.
 

Watchdog Group Files Complaint Over Donation to Trump Super PAC by Canadian Billionaire’s Company

ERIC LIPTON at NYT > Politics - 26 minutes ago
The Campaign Legal Center said that Barry Zekelman violated the ban on foreign donations when one of his United States companies gave $1.75 million to a Trump super PAC.
 
A case against citozens united is under construction.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Citizens_United_v._FEC
A corporation is able to contract but is not otherwise a person.
Barry Zekelman should be guilty.
 

Kentucky Has a Primary Election Today. Here’s What to Watch.

MAGGIE ASTOR at NYT > Politics - 2 hours ago
Gov. Matt Bevin, the Republican incumbent, is the most unpopular governor in the country. Democrats hope that will give them an opening in a red state.
 
I do not need to watch.   I will learn who won.
 

U.S. Restrictions on Huawei Expose a High-Tech Achilles’ Heel for China

RAYMOND ZHONG at NYT > Politics - 2 hours ago
China is heavily reliant on imported computer chips, despite efforts to develop its own semiconductor industry.
 
China does not have a problem.
 

Chemical Activity Barometer Increased Slightly in May

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 3 hours ago
 
There is noise in all these signals. 
 
6

U.S. Officials Say Military Moves to Deter Iran Are Working

JULIAN E. BARNES and EMILY COCHRANE at NYT > Politics - 4 hours ago
Lawmakers are divided ahead of intelligence briefings on Capitol Hill focused on rising tensions with Iran and America’s deployments to the Middle East.
 
Iran is undetered.  
It would be foolish to provoke Trump.
 

Comments on April Existing Home Sales

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 5 hours ago
Earlier: NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 5.19 million in April A few key points: 1) The key for housing - and the overall economy - is new home sales, single family housing starts and overall residential investment. Overall, this is still *a somewhat reasonable level for existing home sales*. No worries. 2) Inventory is still low, and was only up 1.7% year-over-year (YoY) in April. This was the ninth consecutive month with a year-over-year increase in inventory, although the YoY increase was smaller in April than in the six previous months. [image: Existing Home Sales NSA]... more » 
 
Sales are down slightly.
 

‘Our Subpoenas Are Not Optional,’ Nadler Warns McGahn

NYT > Politics - 6 hours ago
Representative Jerrold Nadler, the chairman of the House Judiciary Committee, threatened to cite Donald F. McGahn II for contempt after the former White House counsel defied a subpoena.
 
Contempt of congress should be meaningful.
 

U.S. Restrictions on Huawei Expose a High-Tech Achilles’ Heel for China

RAYMOND ZHONG at NYT > Politics - 6 hours ago
China is heavily reliant on imported computer chips, despite efforts to develop its own semiconductor industry.
 
Chips are a small part of the price.
China can make them for a higher price.
They will have different backdoors.
 
10 

Trump Expected to Pick Ken Cuccinelli for Immigration Policy Role

MAGGIE HABERMAN and ZOLAN KANNO-YOUNGS at NYT > Politics - 6 hours ago
The job’s duties and title are still being decided, but Ken Cuccinelli, an immigration hard-liner, is expected to work through the Department of Homeland Security.
 
An immigration hard line is a bad idea.
 
11 

NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 5.19 million in April

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 9 hours ago
From the NAR: Existing-Home Sales Inch Back 0.4% in April Existing-home sales saw a minor decline in April, continuing March’s drop in sales, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Two of the four major U.S. regions saw a slight dip in sales, while the West saw growth and the Midwest essentially bore no changes last month. Total existing-home sales, completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, fell 0.4% from March to a *seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.19 million in April*. Total sales are down 4.4% from a year ago (5.... more » 
 
Prices are higher.
 
12 

Black Knight: National Mortgage Delinquency Rate Decreased to Record Low in April

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 10 hours ago
From Black Knight: Black Knight’s First Look: Strong April Mortgage Performance Pushes National Delinquency Rate to New Record Low; Prepayment Activity Continues to Rise • Following a slow start to the year, the national delinquency rate fell by more than 5% month-over-month; at 3.47%, it is now at its lowest level on record dating back to 2000 • Serious delinquencies – loans 90 or more days past due, but not yet in foreclosure – fell to 474,000, marking a 124,000 year-over-year decline and a 12-year low • While monthly foreclosure starts edged up slightly from March’s 18-year low... more » 
 
The Lenders are cautious.
 
13 

Democratic Calls for Impeachment Inquiry Grow as Leaders Instead Vow to Toughen Tactics

NICHOLAS FANDOS at NYT > Politics - 11 hours ago
Some Progressive Democrats have joined calls for an impeachment inquiry, arguing that it will strengthen the party’s efforts to stop President Trump’s stonewalling.
 
Keep Trump busy.
 
14 

As Biden Rakes In Big Money, Will There Be a Political Cost?

SHANE GOLDMACHER and KATIE GLUECK at NYT > Politics - 13 hours ago
While some of the 2020 Democrats have sworn off big donors, Joe Biden and his campaign have welcomed them into the fold.
 
Biden should not be the candidate.
 
15 

The Economy Is Strong and Inflation Is Low. That’s What Worries the Fed.

JEANNA SMIALEK at NYT > Politics - 13 hours ago
The Fed’s struggle to coax inflation to its 2 percent target signals the faltering of a foundational economic relationship. That could create a problem in the next recession.
 
The Federal funds rate is high.
 
16 

Lawmakers Break Ramadan Fast on Capitol Hill

EMILY COCHRANE at NYT > Politics - 17 hours ago
Representatives André Carson, Ilhan Omar and Rashida Tlaib, all Muslims, hosted an iftar meal on Monday night at the Capitol Visitor Center.
 
Do it.
 
17 

On Politics: Secrecy Fight Between Trump and Congress Escalates

NYT > Politics - 17 hours ago
A judge ruled that President Trump’s accounting firm must turn over his financial records, and the president moved to block testimony by his former counsel.
 
These are not matters of national security.
Do not neglect to keep Trump busy. 
 
18 

Accountants Must Turn Over Trump’s Financial Records, Lower-Court Judge Rules

CHARLIE SAVAGE at NYT > Politics - 23 hours ago
President Trump lost an early test of his strategy of stonewalling all oversight demands for information by Congress, but the ruling is just the first step in what could be a lengthy process.
 
Congress has a right to know.
 
19 

Impeachment Appeal Pushes Justin Amash From G.O.P. Gadfly to Insurgent

GLENN THRUSH at NYT > Politics - 23 hours ago
Washington is a town of partisan herds, and Mr. Amash, a congressman from Michigan, has strayed far outside his.
 
Yes.
 
20 

Fox News Welcomes Pete Buttigieg. Trump and ‘Fox & Friends’ Aren’t Pleased.

MICHAEL M. GRYNBAUM at NYT > Politics - 23 hours ago
Another Democratic town hall event on the channel liberals love to hate drew sizable ratings — and underscored the split between its news and opinion sides.
 
Distracted is better.
 
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