Saturday, July 13, 2019

@7:31, , 7/13/19

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1

One Candidate In, One Candidate Out: This Week in the 2020 Race

Maggie Astor and Matt Stevens at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 56 minutes ago
Eric Swalwell exits the race as Tom Steyer enters it, the candidates talk equity at the Essence Festival, and Joe Biden releases his tax returns.
The play of the topics is fascinating.
If there is any doubt as to ones preference attention should be paid.
The next step is primary voting. 
Convention delegates will be seleced then. 

House Democrats Postpone Mueller Testimony by One Week

Nicholas Fandos at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 9 hours ago
Two high-stakes hearings with Robert S. Mueller III, the former special counsel, that had been scheduled for next week have been moved to July 24.
Trump will not be impeached while senate Republicans are loyal.
The next step is the general election.  
There is time to destroy Trump and Republican unity. 

3
 

A White House Correspondent Departs the Jaw-Dropping Trump Beat

Mark Landler at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 11 hours ago
Choosing a single day that epitomizes the Trump presidency — with its tangle of norm-shattering days — is a food’s errand. But Thursday came close.
"Lets not and say we did."
Trump is staring.

New Details on Family Separations Fuel Emotional Hearing

Emily Cochrane and Zolan Kanno-Youngs at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 11 hours ago
A House committee said Friday that at least 18 infants and toddlers were separated from their migrant parents, the youngest just 4 months old.
Trump has "grabbed the wrong end of the stick".
Child separation will destroy him with any voter who is still thinking.

E.P.A. Plans to Curtail the Ability of Communities to Oppose Pollution Permits

Coral Davenport at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 13 hours ago
The agency is preparing to weaken rules that, for a quarter-century, have given communities a voice in deciding how much industrial pollution may legally be released nearby.
He has just lost the realestate  lobby.  NIMBY is a powerful force.

For 30 Minutes on a Hot Friday Morning, Trump Lashes Out at a Range of Critics

Annie Karni at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 13 hours ago
The president’s targets included Bill de Blasio, Paul D. Ryan, the outgoing British ambassador and the press. But he said that Nancy Pelosi was not a racist.
As a racist speaking to racists saying Pelosi is not a member of the group is not a compliment.
7  

Claims That Obama ‘Yanked’ Citizenship Question From Census Are False

Linda Qiu at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 14 hours ago
This talking point from supporters of President Trump is wrong in several ways.
Yes.

Q2 Review: Ten Economic Questions for 2019

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 15 hours ago
At the end of last year, I posted Ten Economic Questions for 2019. I followed up with a brief post on each question. The goal was to provide an overview of what I expected in 2019 (I don't have a crystal ball, but I think it helps to outline what I think will happen - and understand - and change my mind, when the outlook is wrong). By request, here is a quick Q2 review. I've linked to my posts from the beginning of the year, with a brief excerpt and a few comments: 10) Question #10 for 2019: Will housing inventory increase or decrease in 2019? "I expect to see inventory up again ye... more » 
I will build

Brazil’s President May Appoint Son, Friend to the Trumps, as Ambassador to U.S.

Ernesto LondoƱo at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 15 hours ago
President Jair Bolsonaro said his son Eduardo’s friendship with President Trump’s sons would make him an effective envoy. The idea immediately provoked criticism.
The reactionary bubble continues. 
10 

As Tropical Storm Barry Strengthens, FEMA Is Already Stretched Thin

Christopher Flavelle at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 15 hours ago
Three years of brutal disasters mean fewer trained FEMA workers are available to help victims of Barry -- or whatever storm comes after it.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at2+shtml/145608.shtml?rainqpf#contents
NOLA should do fine. 
11 

House Votes to Extend 9/11 Fund for Lifetimes of First Responders

Julie Hirschfeld Davis at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 15 hours ago
The House voted Friday on a $10 billion measure that would replenish a Sept. 11 fund for ailing first responders and extend assistance for the rest of their lives.
The Senate is away. 
12 

Matt Stoller Writes BIG: Anti-Trust

Ian Welsh at Ian Welsh - 15 hours ago
Matt was one of the writers at BOPNews, in what seems like a long time ago now. He also wrote for MyDD for years. After that he, among other things, spent time on the Hill as a Congressional aide, to learn how politics and governance actually works. He left and joined an anti-trust think tank, […]
Educational.
Antitrust is a powerful tool.
13 

House Passes $733 Billion Defense Bill Checking Trump’s War Powers

Catie Edmondson at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 17 hours ago
The House passed a provision that would require the president to get Congress’s approval before authorizing military force against Iran.
Trump must learn to do diplomacy.
14 

Acosta to Resign as Labor Secretary Over Jeffrey Epstein Plea Deal

Annie Karni, Eileen Sullivan and Noam Scheiber at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 19 hours ago
President Trump said the decision to resign was made by his labor secretary, R. Alexander Acosta.
We are told Acosta is gone.
15 

Government Could Breach Debt Ceiling in September, Mnuchin Warns

Emily Cochrane and Jim Tankersley at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 19 hours ago
Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin warned Congress that the government could breach its statutory borrowing limit by September, begging for a debt ceiling increase.
It is important only to deflationists. 
The Republicans installed it and the spending that will trigger it.
16 

Q2 GDP Forecasts: Around 1.5%

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 20 hours ago
From Merrill Lynch: We continue to track *1.7% for 2Q GDP* growth. [July 12 estimate] emphasis added From the NY Fed Nowcasting Report The New York Fed Staff Nowcast stands at *1.5% for 2019:Q2* and 1.8% for 2019:Q3. [July 12 estimate]. And from the Altanta Fed: GDPNow The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the *second quarter of 2019 is 1.4 percent* on July 10, up from 1.3 percent on July 3. [July 10 estimate] CR Note: These estimates suggest real GDP growth will be around 1.5% annualized in Q2.
17 

Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased Year-over-year

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 21 hours ago
From HotelNewsNow.com: STR: US hotel results for week ending 6 July The U.S. hotel industry reported positive year-over-year results in the three key performance metrics during the week of 30 June through 6 July 2019, according to data from STR. In comparison with the week of 1-7 July 2018, the industry recorded the following: • *Occupancy: +2.6% to 65.3%* • Average daily rate (ADR): +2.6% to US$127.31 • Revenue per available room (RevPAR): +5.2% to US$83.18 emphasis added The following graph shows the seasonal pattern for the hotel occupancy rate using the four week average. [ima... more » 
Noie
18 

American Commandos Gear Up for New Shadow War With Russia

Eric Schmitt at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 1 day ago
Even as President Trump courts Russia, Special Operations forces are teaming up with partners on Europe’s eastern flank to counter a mix of subterfuge, cyberattacks and disinformation.
Eastern Europe is worried.   It should be.
I wish Trump could help.
The attacks will be virtual.
19 

Why Sanders Wanted His Meeting With a Rabbi Kept Secret

Jonathan Martin and Sydney Ember at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 1 day ago
Bernie Sanders’s advisers and allies want him to get personal with voters as he struggles in the 2020 race. But that isn’t his style.

Bernie Sanders gets to run his own campaign.
I prefer Elizabeth Warren.

20  

22 States Considered Eliminating the ‘Tampon Tax’ This Year. Here’s What Happened.

Karen Zraick at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 1 day ago
Menstrual products are subject to sales taxes in 35 states, and lawmakers’ efforts to exempt them have floundered. Now supporters of ‘menstrual equity’ are considering legal action.

Nobody wants the women to do without menstrual supplies.
"Pink" taxes should end.

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