Sunday, June 16, 2019

@21:00, , 6/15/19

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1

Democratic Candidates Promise to Close Wealth Gap Between Blacks and Whites

Astead W. Herndon at NYT > Politics - 1 hour ago
Inequality of wealth and income was a dominant theme as four Democratic candidates addressed the Black Economic Alliance’s forum in South Carolina.
 
The method eludes me.
 

Why The Consensus Environmental Predictions Are Wrong

Ian Welsh at Ian Welsh - 5 hours ago
So, a little bit ago I noted that with temperatures of 70 degrees in the arctic, we could expect permafrost to melt, and that would release methane. Methane is a lot stronger greenhouse gas than carbon, in the short run, and there is a lot held in arctic permafrost. It was suggested that this was […]
 
Yes.   Soon is not a set time.
 

In Face-Off With Iran, Escalation May Depend on Who Prevails Inside Washington and Tehran

David E. Sanger and David D. Kirkpatrick at NYT > Politics - 5 hours ago
The attacks in the Gulf of Oman emboldens the hard-liners in Iran and the U.S., each able to argue their longtime adversary is itching for war.
 
I can't guess.
 

Immigrants Brought Riches to Urban Schools. Now They’re in the Shadows.

Erica L. Green at NYT > Politics - 7 hours ago
As immigrant families forgo services or are dropped from public assistance, schools are seeing their student populations undercounted and their funding cut.
 
The Trump administration is wrong again.
 

On the Doorstep With a Plea: Will You Support Medicare for All?

Abby Goodnough at NYT > Politics - 9 hours ago
The nation’s largest nurses’ union is pushing Medicare for all from door to door to door in swing House districts. But the campaign for a single-payer health system is slow going.
 
Yes.
 

As Passions Flare in Abortion Debate, Many Americans Say ‘It’s Complicated’

Jeremy W. Peters at NYT > Politics - 11 hours ago
Abortion is anything but a simple issue. But the nuance in how most Americans think about it has all but disappeared from the political conversation, some voters say.
 
Just say yes.
 

Schedule for Week of June 16, 2019

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 12 hours ago 
The key reports this week are May housing starts and existing home sales. For manufacturing, the June New York and Philly Fed manufacturing surveys will be released. The FOMC meets this week, and no change to policy is expected at this meeting. *----- Monday, June 17th -----* 8:30 AM: The New York Fed *Empire State manufacturing survey* for June. The consensus is for a reading of 10.0, down from 17.8. 10:00 AM: The June *NAHB homebuilder survey*. The consensus is for a reading of 67, up from 66. Any number above 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as good than poo... more » 
 
Guessing,  
 
8

Democratic Debates, Sanders on Socialism, New Polls: This Week in the 2020 Race

Maggie Astor and Matt Stevens at NYT > Politics - 13 hours ago
The stage is set for the first Democratic debates this month, Joe Biden and President Trump square off in Iowa and we round up new policy proposals.
 
No change yet.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_contract
 

On Politics: The Biggest Stories of the Week

Isabella Grullón Paz at NYT > Politics - 15 hours ago
It’s been a busy week in American politics. Here are some of the stories you might have missed.
 
10 

U.S. Escalates Online Attacks on Russia’s Power Grid

David E. Sanger and Nicole Perlroth at NYT > Politics - 15 hours ago
The Trump administration is using new authority to take more aggressive digital action in a warning to Moscow and in a demonstration of its abilities.
 
It is a frightening story.
 
11 

Ask Maggie Haberman About Covering the White House

The New York Times at NYT > Politics - 15 hours ago
Since she joined The Times in 2015, Maggie Haberman has been a driving force behind much of its award-winning political coverage and a lightning rod for grievances from both sides of the aisle.
 
She should work more. 
 
12 

As Trump Accuses Iran, He Has One Problem: His Own Credibility

Peter Baker at NYT > Politics - 23 hours ago
For any president, accusing another country of an act of war presents a challenge to overcome skepticism at home and abroad. For a president known for falsehoods and bombast, it is far more daunting.
 
https://www.juancole.com/ 
 
13 

A President With a Taste for Planes Has a Plan for Air Force One: Paint It Red, White and Blue

Katie Rogers at NYT > Politics - 23 hours ago
“I like the concept of red, white and blue,” Mr. Trump said on Friday. “The baby blue” of the Kennedy era, he said, “doesn’t fit with us.”
 
https://allthetropes.fandom.com/wiki/Vaudeville_Hook
 
14 

California Bay Area Home Sales Decline 2% YoY in May, Inventory up 15% YoY

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 1 day ago
From Compass chief economist Selma Hepp: Plenty of Bay Area buyers, but why are they hesitant? • While April’s momentum is slightly slower in May, May sales are still only 2 percent below last year’s highs after double-digit declines earlier in the year. • Home sales momentum remains solid in East Bay. Napa sales finally jumped 6 percent after a 6-month losing streak, averaging 20 percent annual declines. • Affordable sales picked up again with sales of homes priced below $1 million up 3 percent year-over-year, the first two-month consecutive annual increase in the last four years... more » 
 
Oakland is a good place to rest.
 
15 

Justice Dept. Backs Mnuchin’s Refusal to Release Trump’s Tax Returns

Alan Rappeport at NYT > Politics - 1 day ago
In a new memo, the department argued that a request from House Democrats for the returns was not legitimate and was only for political purposes.
 
 They have the same boss.
 
16 

"Mortgage Rates Just Had Another Awesome Week"

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 1 day ago
From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Just Had Another Awesome Week While we can't say that this week's best mortgage rate offerings were quite as good as last week's best, they were pretty darn close. In fact, quite a few lenders have simply been quoting the same rates for the entire 2-week period. [*30YR FIXED - 3.875%*] emphasis added [image: Mortgage Rates] *Click on graph for larger image.* This is a graph from Mortgage News Daily (MND) showing 30 year fixed rates from three sources (MND, MBA, Freddie Mac). Go to MND and you can adjust the graph for dif... more » 
 
Houses are not selling well.
 
17

Roadside Blast in Niger That Hit Americans Shows Growing Threat, Officials Say

Thomas Gibbons-Neff at NYT > Politics - 1 day ago
The explosives were buried roughly three feet underground and positioned at a key choke point on a road that led to a shooting range frequented by American troops.
 
Learning.
 
18 

What the Chinese Communist Party Learned From the Fall of the USSR

Ian Welsh at Ian Welsh - 1 day ago
Recently I read a speech from 2013 by Xi Jingping, the General Secretary of China’s Communist Party, and China’s leader. In one respect it’s turgid and boring: it’s for insiders, other party members. But in another it’s fascinating. One part that Xi goes on and on about is how there have been different periods in […]
 
Have faith.
 
19 

White House Considers Restoring the Daily Briefing for the Next Press Secretary

Annie Karni at NYT > Politics - 1 day ago
Stephanie Grisham, currently the spokeswoman for the first lady, Melania Trump, is one of those under consideration to succeed Sarah Huckabee Sanders.
 
The one tends the other.
 
20 

The U.S. Has Turned Up Pressure on Iran. See the Timeline of Events.

Helene Cooper at NYT > Politics - 1 day ago
As increased American pressure and sanctions have put a strangle on the Iranian economy, Iran now may be hitting back.
 
https://www.juancole.com/
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