Monday, June 17, 2019

@16:00, , 6/17/19

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1

‘Hillary and Clinton’ to End Broadway Run Early

Michael Paulson at NYT > Politics - 1 hour ago
Lucas Hnath’s play about a familiar-sounding power couple will wrap up on June 23.
 
They did not find an audience.
 

How Battles Over Serving Same-Sex Couples Play Out in Court

Laura M. Holson at NYT > Politics - 1 hour ago
The Supreme Court just declined to hear a case in which a bakery refused to make a cake for a lesbian couple. Here’s a look at similar past cases.
 
Freedom  from religion should hold.
Quakers are allowed to affirm rather than to swear on the bible.
 
3

Justices Dismiss Appeal in Virginia Racial Gerrymandering Case

Adam Liptak at NYT > Politics - 1 hour ago
The decision featured unusual alliances, with Justices Clarence Thomas and Neil M. Gorsuch joining three of the court’s more liberal members.
 
Gerrymandering should not be tollerated. 

Impeachment is not a cheerfull prospect.
An alternative is stuffing the Court.
 

CAR on California: "Lower interest rates perk up May home sales"

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 3 hours ago
The CAR reported: Lower interest rates perk up May home sales as median price reaches another high California’s median home price edged higher to another peak for the second straight month as lower interest rates helped bolster home sales in May, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) said today. Closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes in California totaled a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 406,960 units in May, according to information collected by C.A.R. from more than 90 local REALTOR® associations and MLSs statewide. The statewide annualize... more
 
Homes in California are unaffordable.
 
I could help some.
 
5

Supreme Court Affirms Exception to Double Jeopardy in a Case With Implications for Trump Associates

Adam Liptak at NYT > Politics - 3 hours ago
The justices refused to overrule precedents that allow separate prosecutions for the same crimes in state and federal courts
 
The South won reconstruction.
The states retaine a secondary sovereignty.
 
6

Xi Jinping Will Make First Visit to North Korea Ahead of Meeting With Trump

Jane Perlez at NYT > Politics - 3 hours ago
At a time when tensions among North Korea, China and the United States have been high, some officials see Mr. Xi’s trip to Pyongyang as a way to cool things down.
 
North Korea is reassured.
 
7

FOMC Preview

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 4 hours ago
The consensus is that there will no change in policy at the FOMC meeting this week, but that the Fed might take a more dovish tone (and possibly even remove the word "patience") - and possibly hint at a rate cut later this year (perhaps as insurance). Note that Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius wrote today: "A Skeptical View of Insurance Cuts". Hatzius thinks the Fed will remain data dependent (any rate cut will be based on the data), and not cut rates as "insurance". There might some revisions in the economic projections, especially for inflation. Here are the March FOMC ... more » 
 
A guess I am pleased to see.
 
8

The Trade War Is Taking Money From Your Wallet, and Returning Some, Too

Matt Phillips at NYT > Politics - 5 hours ago
The Trump administration’s taxes made that washing machine cost more, but gas is cheaper because the markets are jittery about the trade war.
 
Trade wars are destructive everywhere.
 
9

Supreme Court Won’t Rule on Clash Between Another Bakery and a Gay Couple

Adam Liptak at NYT > Politics - 5 hours ago
The Supreme Court again avoided deciding whether the Constitution allows people with religious objections to same-sex marriage to discriminate.
 
The Supreme Court told the discriminators no.
Antidiscrimination law is established. 

Have the cake, then eat it.
There is cake.
 
10

Trump Campaign to Purge Pollsters After Leak of Dismal Results

Peter Baker and Maggie Haberman at NYT > Politics - 5 hours ago
Just two days before President Trump is set to kick off his re-election campaign, his team was cutting ties with three pollsters as part of an effort to prevent further leaks.
 
"Shooting the messenger" 
 
11

NAHB: "Builder Confidence Solid in June Amidst Growing Economic Uncertainty"

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 5 hours ago
The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) reported the housing market index (HMI) was at 64 in June, down from 66 in May. Any number above 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as good than poor. From NAHB: Builder Confidence Solid in June Amidst Growing Economic Uncertainty *Builder confidence in the market for newly-built single-family homes fell two points to 64 in Jun*e, according to the latest NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) released today. Sentiment levels have held at a solid range in the low- to mid-60s for the past five months. “While dem... more » 
 
It is not a happy number. 
 
12 

NY Fed: Manufacturing "Business activity took a sharp turn downward in New York State"

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 7 hours ago
From the NY Fed: Empire State Manufacturing Survey Business activity took a *sharp turn downward* in New York State, according to firms responding to the June 2019 Empire State Manufacturing Survey. *The headline general business conditions index plummeted twenty-six points, its largest monthly decline on record, to -8.6*. New orders receded, while shipments increased modestly. Unfilled orders fell, and delivery times and inventories moved slightly lower. Labor market indicators pointed to small declines in employment and hours worked. *The index for number of employees fell eight ... more » 
 
It is not a happy number.
 
13 

Elizabeth Warren Is Completely Serious

Emily Bazelon at NYT > Politics - 10 hours ago
About income inequality. About corporate power. About corrupt politics. And about being America’s next president.
 
14
 
Yes.  
She is my prefference. 

Why Joe Biden Thinks He Can Ignore His Many Democratic Rivals

Katie Glueck at NYT > Politics - 10 hours ago
Mr. Biden is betting that his widespread name recognition and early poll results free him to focus on President Trump — and brush off his 22 Democratic opponents.
 
Joe Biden is wrong.
 
15 

On Politics: Trump Ousts Pollsters

NYT > Politics - 14 hours ago
After the leak of internal polls showing President Trump behind Joe Biden in several key states, the campaign is cutting ties with three of its five pollsters.
 
"Shooting the messenger"
 
16 

Trump Wants to Neutralize Democrats on Health Care. Republicans Say Let It Go.

Peter Baker, Michael Tackett and Linda Qiu at NYT > Politics - 18 hours ago
If the president follows through on issuing a plan, it could help shape a presidential race that Democrats would like to focus largely on health care.
 
Trump cannot make a plan acceptable to the Republican party.
 
17 

Sunday Night Futures

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 19 hours ago
Weekend: • Schedule for Week of June 16, 2019 Monday: • At 8:30 AM, The New York Fed *Empire State manufacturing survey* for June. The consensus is for a reading of 10.0, down from 17.8. • At 10:00 AM, The June *NAHB homebuilder survey*. The consensus is for a reading of 67, up from 66. Any number above 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as good than poor. From CNBC: Pre-Market Data and Bloomberg futures: S&P 500 are up 7 and DOW futures are up 56 (fair value). Oil prices were down over the last week with WTI futures at $52.60 per barrel and Brent at $62.15 per b... more » 
 
Guesses.
 
18 

Pharma Execs Should Go To Jail and Pharma Should Be Publicly Run

Ian Welsh at Ian Welsh - 21 hours ago
*One vial of insulin cost $21 in 1996, compared to $320 in 2018. The cost of Big Pharma’s outrageous greed is American lives. If they will not end their greed then we will end it for them.* —Bernie Sanders Corporations are bundles of rights. The most important right is a shield from liability. Corporation rights […]
 
The health care system must bargain the price of treatment.
 
19 

Progressives Vowed Driver’s Licenses for the Undocumented. Then the Suburbs Spoke Up.

Vivian Wang at NYT > Politics - 22 hours ago
The topic is one of the most divisive issues before the State Legislature this year, and Democrats worry it could endanger them politically.
 
The cost of living will rise licenses are not issued.
 
20 

Trump Campaign to Purge Pollsters After Leak of Dismal Results

Peter Baker and Maggie Haberman at NYT > Politics - 1 day ago
Just two days before President Trump is set to kick off his re-election campaign, his team was cutting ties with three pollsters as part of an effort to prevent further leaks.
 
"Shooting the messenger"
It is not a winning move.
 
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