Sunday, June 30, 2019

@13:00, , 6/30/19

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For All the Talk of a Tea Party of the Left, Moderates Emerge as a Democratic Power

Julie Hirschfeld Davis at NYT > Politics - 6 minutes ago
Liberals like Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez may get the attention, but a group of moderate Democrats in the House are proving more adept at wielding power.

I am a moderate Democrat.

Julie Hirschfeld Davis does not know me or include me in her consideration.

The extreme left of the Democratic party is far to the right of the Communist party.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_contract

William Jennings Bryan

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_Jennings_Bryan

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cross_of_Gold_speech
Read the text.

For All the Talk of a Tea Party of the Left, Moderates Emerge as a Democratic Power

I suspect "fake news"


***************************************************************************
1

Week-end Wrap – Political Economy – June 29, 2019

Tony Wikrent at Ian Welsh - 1 hour ago
Week-end Wrap – Political Economy – June 29, 2019 by Tony Wikrent Economics Action Group, North Carolina Democratic Party Progressive Caucus Strategic Political Economy These Three Firms Own Corporate America Jan Fichtner, Eelke Heemskerk, Javier Garcia-Bernardo, May 11, 2017 [The Conversation, via Alternet] Disrupting mainstream economics The new left economics: how a network of thinkers […]

Tony Wikrent probably has the facts.
I wish I were confident of his conclusions.

For All the Talk of a Tea Party of the Left, Moderates Emerge as a Democratic Power

Julie Hirschfeld Davis at NYT > Politics - 1 hour ago
Liberals like Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez may get the attention, but a group of moderate Democrats in the House are proving more adept at wielding power.

Suspect "fake news".
Democrats fight as cats and dogs.

June 2019: Unofficial Problem Bank list increased to 76 Institutions, Q2 2019 Transition Matrix

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 2 hours ago
Note: Surferdude808 compiles an *unofficial* list of Problem Banks compiled only from public sources. DISCLAIMER: This is an unofficial list, the information is from public sources and while deemed to be reliable is not guaranteed. No warranty or representation, expressed or implied, is made as to the accuracy of the information contained herein and same is subject to errors and omissions. This is not intended as investment advice. Please contact CR with any errors. Here is the unofficial problem bank list for June 2019. Here are the monthly changes and a few comments from surferdu... more » 

Realestate is sick.

Trump Steps Into North Korea and Agrees With Kim Jong-un to Resume Talks

Peter Baker and Michael Crowley at NYT > Politics - 11 hours ago
American and North Korean leaders shook hands at the line separating the peninsula for a camera-friendly demonstration of friendship intended to revitalize nuclear negotiations.

"Jaw jaw is better than war war"
                                W. Churchill

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/picture/2019/jun/30/ben-jennings-donald-trump-meeting-kim-jong-un-cartoon#img-1

Kamala Harris Is Supported by Rivals After Trump Jr. Questions Her Race

Derrick Bryson Taylor at NYT > Politics - 11 hours ago
Joe Biden, Amy Klobuchar and Pete Buttigieg were among the presidential hopefuls who called a message that the president’s son had retweeted “racist” and “vile.”

Jr. will never hold elected office.

Whitney North Seymour Jr., Former U.S. Prosecutor Who Fought Corruption, Dies at 95

Robert D. McFadden at NYT > Politics - 13 hours ago
He was a patrician Republican who was prominent in New York civic, social and legal circles, the scion of a lawyer who championed unpopular causes.

Honest prosecutors could hold office in the shadow of Tammany Hall.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tammany_Hallhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tammany_Hall

Trump Consultant Is Trolling Democrats With Biden Site That Isn’t Biden’s

Matthew Rosenberg at NYT > Politics - 20 hours ago
Armed with bogus websites that mock leading candidates, a Trump campaign worker is exploiting tensions on the left with Russian-style disinformation.

An example of "fake news".

Glaad’s Bold New Mission: an L.G.B.T. Constitutional Amendment

Brooks Barnes at NYT > Politics - 20 hours ago
Led by its chief executive, Sarah Kate Ellis, the gay rights group is moving beyond Hollywood and toward national politics, raising eyebrows among some of its allies.

Good luck to the effort.

Democrats Veer Left on Immigration at Debates, Pleasing Base (and Trump)

Jennifer Medina at NYT > Politics - 20 hours ago
Democrats are eager to stand far apart from President Trump on immigration. But the debates this week raised questions about how far is too far.

I percieve no changs.

10 

End of Fundraiser and Open Thread

Ian Welsh at Ian Welsh - 20 hours ago
The fundraiser is over. All goals were met. Feel free to use this as an open thread.

I love you.

11 

Trump Consultant Is Trolling Democrats With Biden Site That Isn’t Biden’s

Matthew Rosenberg at NYT > Politics - 22 hours ago
Armed with bogus websites that mock leading candidates, a Trump campaign worker is exploiting tensions on the left with Russian-style disinformation.

Someone is cheating.
Trump is noted for cheating.

12 

Liberal Democrats Ruled the Debates. Will Moderates Regain Their Voices?

Alexander Burns and Jonathan Martin at NYT > Politics - 1 day ago
Vowing to eliminate private health insurance and decriminalize illegal immigration, the dominant candidates in the first 2020 presidential debates made few overtures to centrist Democrats.

There should be no modeates.
Unconditional surrender is not an option.

13 

Kamala Harris Raises $2 Million in 24 Hours After Debate

Reid J. Epstein at NYT > Politics - 1 day ago
Ms. Harris collected donations from 63,277 people, according to a campaign aide. The aide said 58 percent of those donors had not contributed to her campaign before.

She made her point.

14 

Trump and Xi Agree to Restart Trade Talks, Avoiding Escalation in Tariff War

Peter Baker and Keith Bradsher at NYT > Politics - 1 day ago
The agreement, reached at the Group of 20 meeting in Osaka, Japan, represented a temporary cease-fire to give negotiators another chance to forge a permanent accord.

Just a short pause.

15 

Liberals Ruled the Debates. Will Moderates Regain Their Voices?

Alexander Burns and Jonathan Martin at NYT > Politics - 1 day ago
Vowing to eliminate private health insurance and decriminalize illegal immigration, the dominant candidates in the first 2020 presidential debates made few overtures to centrist Democrats.

I hope the dead never speak.

"the grave's a fine and private place
but few, I think, do there embrace" 
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_Fine_and_Private_Place   
https://www.amazon.com/Fine-Private-Place-Peter-Beagle/dp/1892391465
16 

Trump and Xi Agree to Restart Trade Talks, Avoiding Escalation in Tariff War

Peter Baker and Keith Bradsher at NYT > Politics - 1 day ago
The agreement, reached at the Group of 20 meeting in Osaka, Japan, represented a temporary cease-fire to give negotiators another chance to forge a permanent accord.

noise

17 

Schedule for Week of June 30, 2019

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 1 day ago
The key report scheduled for this week is the June employment report. Other key reports include the June ISM Manufacturing and non-manufacturing surveys, June Vehicle Sales and the Trade Deficit for May. *----- Monday, July 1sth -----* [image: ISM PMI]10:00 AM: *ISM Manufacturing Index* for June. The consensus is for the ISM to be at 51.2, down from 52.1 in May. Here is a long term graph of the ISM manufacturing index. The employment index was at 53.7% in May, and the new orders index was at 52.7%. 10:00 AM: *Construction Spending* for May. The consensus is for a 0.1% increase in ... more » 

I expect to build.

18

Debates, Voting Rights, Yet Another Candidate: This Week in the 2020 Race

Maggie Astor and Matt Stevens at NYT > Politics - 1 day ago
The first 2020 debates yield some surprises, the Supreme Court rules on gerrymandering, and the field of Democratic candidates grows to 24.

Yes

19 

Trump Invites Kim Jong-un to Meet Him at the DMZ on Sunday

Peter Baker at NYT > Politics - 1 day ago
President Trump said in a Twitter post that he would be happy to greet Mr. Kim across the line that has divided Korea for nearly 75 years.

No peace.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/picture/2019/jun/30/ben-jennings-donald-trump-meeting-kim-jong-un-cartoon#img-1

20 

American Missiles Found in Libyan Rebel Compound

Declan Walsh, Eric Schmitt and John Ismay at NYT > Politics - 1 day ago
The powerful American missiles had fallen into the hands of rebels fighting a U.S.-backed government. The U.S. appears to have sold the missiles to the U.A.E.

There is no remote destruct code.


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Saturday, June 29, 2019

@18:20, , 6/29/19

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1

Trump Consultant Is Trolling Democrats With Biden Site That Isn’t Biden’s

Matthew Rosenberg at NYT > Politics - 2 hours ago
Armed with bogus websites that mock leading candidates, a Trump campaign worker is exploiting tensions on the left with Russian-style disinformation.
 
Biden, the Republicans favorite Democrat.
 

Glaad’s Bold New Mission: an L.G.B.T. Constitutional Amendment

Brooks Barnes at NYT > Politics - 2 hours ago
Led by its chief executive, Sarah Kate Ellis, the gay rights group is moving beyond Hollywood and toward national politics, raising eyebrows among some of its allies.
 
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sisyphus
 
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abrahamic_religions
 
They will take their time dying. 
 

Democrats Veer Left on Immigration at Debates, Pleasing Base — and Trump

Jennifer Medina at NYT > Politics - 2 hours ago
Democrats are eager to stand far apart from President Trump on immigration. But the debates this week raised questions about how far is too far.
 
The Republicans "must in their very bowels believe they may be mistaken"
             Paraphrase of Oliver Cromwell.
Welcoming refugees is basic to America.
Isolationism has been an exestential disaster.
 

End of Fundraiser and Open Thread

Ian Welsh at Ian Welsh - 2 hours ago
The fundraiser is over. All goals were met. Feel free to use this as an open thread.
 
I will wait for you until one of us is dead.
I am reasonably healthy.
I must leave salt water for now.

https://www.ianwelsh.net/polling-this-time-in-2015/
Ian Welsh has a grip on reality.  It is not a good grip.

Trump Consultant Is Trolling Democrats With Biden Site That Isn’t Biden’s

Matthew Rosenberg at NYT > Politics - 4 hours ago
Armed with bogus websites that mock leading candidates, a Trump campaign worker is exploiting tensions on the left with Russian-style disinformation.
 
I expect nothing else.
 

Liberal Democrats Ruled the Debates. Will Moderates Regain Their Voices?

Alexander Burns and Jonathan Martin at NYT > Politics - 6 hours ago
Vowing to eliminate private health insurance and decriminalize illegal immigration, the dominant candidates in the first 2020 presidential debates made few overtures to centrist Democrats.
 
There should be no moderates.
The Republicans accept only unconditional surrender.
 

Kamala Harris Raises $2 Million in 24 Hours After Debate

Reid J. Epstein at NYT > Politics - 6 hours ago
Ms. Harris collected donations from 63,277 people, according to a campaign aide. The aide said 58 percent of those donors had not contributed to her campaign before.
 
Kamala Harris has support.
 

Trump and Xi Agree to Restart Trade Talks, Avoiding Escalation in Tariff War

Peter Baker and Keith Bradsher at NYT > Politics - 6 hours ago
The agreement, reached at the Group of 20 meeting in Osaka, Japan, represented a temporary cease-fire to give negotiators another chance to forge a permanent accord.
 
"Jaw jaw is better than war war." 
 
https://www.google.com/search?client=firefox-b-1-d&q=Jaw+jaw+is+better+than+war+war. 
 
Neither side can afford a crash.
 

Liberals Ruled the Debates. Will Moderates Regain Their Voices?

Alexander Burns and Jonathan Martin at NYT > Politics - 8 hours ago
Vowing to eliminate private health insurance and decriminalize illegal immigration, the dominant candidates in the first 2020 presidential debates made few overtures to centrist Democrats.
 
The dead do not speak in words.
 
10 

Trump and Xi Agree to Restart Trade Talks, Avoiding Escalation in Tariff War

Peter Baker and Keith Bradsher at NYT > Politics - 9 hours ago
The agreement, reached at the Group of 20 meeting in Osaka, Japan, represented a temporary cease-fire to give negotiators another chance to forge a permanent accord.
 
Neither party can yield.
There will be a crash.
 
11 

Schedule for Week of June 30, 2019

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 10 hours ago
The key report scheduled for this week is the June employment report. Other key reports include the June ISM Manufacturing and non-manufacturing surveys, June Vehicle Sales and the Trade Deficit for May. *----- Monday, July 1sth -----* [image: ISM PMI]10:00 AM: *ISM Manufacturing Index* for June. The consensus is for the ISM to be at 51.2, down from 52.1 in May. Here is a long term graph of the ISM manufacturing index. The employment index was at 53.7% in May, and the new orders index was at 52.7%. 10:00 AM: *Construction Spending* for May. The consensus is for a 0.1% increase in ... more » 
 
Sooner is better.
As soon as you can is best.
 
12 

Debates, Voting Rights, Yet Another Candidate: This Week in the 2020 Race

Maggie Astor and Matt Stevens at NYT > Politics - 12 hours ago
The first 2020 debates yield some surprises, the Supreme Court rules on gerrymandering, and the field of Democratic candidates grows to 24.
 
Selection has not been done.
 
13 

Trump Invites Kim Jong-un to Meet Him at the DMZ on Sunday

Peter Baker at NYT > Politics - 14 hours ago
President Trump said in a Twitter post that he would be happy to greet Mr. Kim across the line that has divided Korea for nearly 75 years.
 
There can be no peace in Korea's DMZ.
 
14 

American Missiles Found in Libyan Rebel Compound

Declan Walsh, Eric Schmitt and John Ismay at NYT > Politics - 21 hours ago
The powerful American missiles had fallen into the hands of rebels fighting a U.S.-backed government. The U.S. appears to have sold the missiles to the U.A.E.
 
American missils work.
 
15 

DeVos Repeals Obama-Era Rule Cracking Down on For-Profit Colleges

Erica L. Green at NYT > Politics - 21 hours ago
Education Secretary Betsy DeVos formally repealed an Obama-era regulation that would have forced for-profit colleges to prove their debt-laden graduates could find gainful employment.
 
She is doing her job.
 
16 

Kamala Harris Has Been Gearing Up for a Biden Showdown

Astead W. Herndon at NYT > Politics - 21 hours ago
Even before their heated exchange in the Democratic debate over school busing, Ms. Harris had been aiming to win over Mr. Biden’s core constituencies.
 
Preperation helps.
 
17 

McAleenan Says Arrests of Migrants on Border Expected to Decline by 25 Percent in June

Zolan Kanno-Youngs at NYT > Politics - 21 hours ago
He attributed the drop to Mexico cracking down on undocumented immigrants crossing the border and the expansion of a policy that forces migrants to wait in Mexico while their asylum cases are processed.
 
It is his job.
 
18 

A Breakfast Invitation Helps Rebuild a Crown Prince’s Standing

Peter Baker at NYT > Politics - 21 hours ago
Pushed to the side the last time the leaders of the Group of 20 met, the de facto Saudi leader, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, is back in the mainstream.
 
Trump is a "cheap date".
https://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=Cheap%20date
 
19 

Donald Trump Jr. Shares, Then Deletes, a Tweet Questioning Kamala Harris’s Race

Katie Rogers and Maggie Haberman at NYT > Politics - 21 hours ago
But the original tweet that questioned the racial background of a presidential candidate of Indian and Jamaican descent had already gone far and wide.
 
Send him to jail in 2020. 
 
20 

European Talks With Iran End, Leaving Nuclear Issue Unsettled

David E. Sanger at NYT > Politics - 23 hours ago
Iran’s deputy foreign minister said Tehran will now decide whether to follow through on a plan to breach limits on how much nuclear fuel the country can hold.
 
Trump cannot stand down.
 
 
||

@10:13, , 6/29/19

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1

Liberals Ruled the Debates. Will Moderates Regain Their Voices?

Alexander Burns and Jonathan Martin at NYT > Politics - 9 minutes ago
Vowing to eliminate private health insurance and decriminalize illegal immigration, the dominant candidates in the first 2020 presidential debates made few overtures to centrist Democrats.
 
Moderate Democrats should know better.
 
2

Trump and Xi Agree to Restart Trade Talks, Avoiding Escalation in Tariff War

Peter Baker and Keith Bradsher at NYT > Politics - 1 hour ago
The agreement, reached at the Group of 20 meeting in Osaka, Japan, represented a temporary cease-fire to give negotiators another chance to forge a permanent accord.
 
An empty hope.
China cannot comply with Trump.
 

Schedule for Week of June 30, 2019

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 1 hour ago
The key report scheduled for this week is the June employment report. Other key reports include the June ISM Manufacturing and non-manufacturing surveys, June Vehicle Sales and the Trade Deficit for May. *----- Monday, July 1sth -----* [image: ISM PMI]10:00 AM: *ISM Manufacturing Index* for June. The consensus is for the ISM to be at 51.2, down from 52.1 in May. Here is a long term graph of the ISM manufacturing index. The employment index was at 53.7% in May, and the new orders index was at 52.7%. 10:00 AM: *Construction Spending* for May. The consensus is for a 0.1% increase in ... more » 
 
Happy Birthday sister Ann.
I will be in Weighbridge Vt. 7/11/19  for the memorial of the last of my parental generation.
 

Kamala Harris’s Debate, Voting Rights, Yet Another Candidate: This Week in the 2020 Race

Maggie Astor and Matt Stevens at NYT > Politics - 4 hours ago
The first 2020 debates yield some surprises, the Supreme Court rules on gerrymandering, and the field of Democratic candidates grows to 24.
 
There is no news in these reports.
The Democratic candidate selection continues.
 
5

Trump Invites Kim Jong-un to Meet Him at the DMZ on Sunday

Peter Baker at NYT > Politics - 6 hours ago
President Trump said in a Twitter post that he would be happy to greet Mr. Kim across the line that has divided Korea for nearly 75 years.
 
Trump does not know history.
 

American Missiles Found in Libyan Rebel Compound

Declan Walsh, Eric Schmitt and John Ismay at NYT > Politics - 12 hours ago
The powerful American missiles had fallen into the hands of rebels fighting a U.S.-backed government. The U.S. appears to have sold the missiles to the U.A.E.
 
U.S. manufactured missiles work every time.
 

DeVos Repeals Obama-Era Rule Cracking Down on For-Profit Colleges

Erica L. Green at NYT > Politics - 12 hours ago
Education Secretary Betsy DeVos formally repealed an Obama-era regulation that would have forced for-profit colleges to prove their debt-laden graduates could find gainful employment.
 
She is a Trump appointee.
 
8

Kamala Harris Has Been Gearing Up for a Biden Showdown

Astead W. Herndon at NYT > Politics - 12 hours ago
Even before their heated exchange in the Democratic debate over school busing, Ms. Harris had been aiming to win over Mr. Biden’s core constituencies.
 
I think it is worth the effort.
 
9

McAleenan Says Arrests of Migrants on Border Expected to Decline by 25 Percent in June

Zolan Kanno-Youngs at NYT > Politics - 12 hours ago
He attributed the drop to Mexico cracking down on undocumented immigrants crossing the border and the expansion of a policy that forces migrants to wait in Mexico while their asylum cases are processed.
 
Kevin McAleenan, the acting secretary of homeland security is a Trump choice.
 
10

A Breakfast Invitation Helps Rebuild a Crown Prince’s Standing

Peter Baker at NYT > Politics - 12 hours ago
Pushed to the side the last time the leaders of the Group of 20 met, the de facto Saudi leader, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, is back in the mainstream.
 
Donald Trump is a "cheap date"
Palm trees seem to help.
 
11 

Donald Trump Jr. Shares, Then Deletes, a Tweet Questioning Kamala Harris’s Race

Katie Rogers and Maggie Haberman at NYT > Politics - 12 hours ago
But the original tweet that questioned the racial background of a presidential candidate of Indian and Jamaican descent had already gone far and wide.
 
Donald Trump jr. will destroy himself shortly.
 
12

European Talks With Iran End, Leaving Nuclear Issue Unsettled

David E. Sanger at NYT > Politics - 15 hours ago
Iran’s deputy foreign minister said Tehran will now decide whether to follow through on a plan to breach limits on how much nuclear fuel the country can hold.
 
The government of Iran is rational.
It is dealing with an irrational situation.
 
13 

Republicans Revel in Biden’s Debate Troubles, but See a New Threat in Harris

Annie Karni and Jeremy W. Peters at NYT > Politics - 15 hours ago
Trump campaign aides and allies acknowledged that the California senator could be a vexing rival and that the Democratic race will be more unpredictable than they had thought.
 
Politics is Game Theory.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Game_theory
There is a fudge factor for emotional inputs. 
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fudge_factor
 
14 

Matt Gaetz, a Trump Ally, Is in Hot Water Again for Cohen Threat

Nicholas Fandos at NYT > Politics - 15 hours ago
Representative Matt Gaetz ignored the House Ethics Committee’s request for an interview as it examined an accusation of witness intimidation. Now he faces an ethics inquiry.
 
The appearance of honor is politically useful.
 
15 

What We Know About Joe Biden’s Record on School Busing

Matt Stevens at NYT > Politics - 15 hours ago
During the Democratic debate Thursday night, Senator Kamala Harris recalled Mr. Biden’s opposition to school busing in the 1970s. Here’s a look at the history.
 
Read it if you do not remember.
 
16 

Senate Rejects Curb on Trump’s Authority to Strike Iran

Catie Edmondson and Nicholas Fandos at NYT > Politics - 17 hours ago
The Senate shot down a measure that would have required President Trump to seek Congress’s approval before launching an offensive military strike on Iran.
 
The Republican party sees financial advantage in the threat of war.
 
17 

Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in May, Lowest Since July 2007

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 17 hours ago
Fannie Mae reported that the Single-Family Serious Delinquency rate decreased to 0.70% in May, from 0.72% in April. The serious delinquency rate is down from 1.03% in May 2018. These are mortgage loans that are "three monthly payments or more past due or in foreclosure". The Fannie Mae serious delinquency rate peaked in February 2010 at 5.59%. This is the lowest serious delinquency rate for Fannie Mae since July 2007. [image: Fannie Freddie Seriously Delinquent Rate]*Click on graph for larger image* *By vintage*, for loans made in 2004 or earlier (3% of portfolio), 2.57% are ser... more » 
 
The wealthy have money or income.
 
18 

A Day After Bruising Debate, Biden Pushes Back Against Criticism on Civil Rights

Julie Bosman and Katie Glueck at NYT > Politics - 19 hours ago
Mr. Biden suffered a setback in his exchange with Kamala Harris, raising questions about his electability and highlighting the unsettled nature of the race.
 
Biden is unacceptable on his record.
 
19 

Where Is Kamala Harris on Medicare for All vs. Private Insurance?

Margot Sanger-Katz at NYT > Politics - 19 hours ago
A candidate has a history of making conflicting comments about a divisive health care plan.
 
It makes sense to have the largest possible  risk pool.
Only the federal government can administer systems at cost. 
   it is not required to make a profit on processes. 
Graduated taxation meets the costs by ability to pay.
Philosophical acceptability is the difficulty with single payer health care.
 
20 

E. Jean Carroll, in Her Own Words

Maya Salam at NYT > Politics - 19 hours ago
The writer who has accused President Trump of sexually assaulting her in the 1990s speaks to The New York Times.
 
Trump is guilty.
 
||

@,23:00, , 6/28/19

|


1

American Missiles Found in Libyan Rebel Compound

Declan Walsh, Eric Schmitt and John Ismay at NYT > Politics - 1 hour ago
The powerful American missiles had fallen into the hands of rebels fighting a U.S.-backed government. The U.S. appears to have sold the missiles to the U.A.E.
 
Weapons follow peoples intrest.
 

DeVos Repeals Obama-Era Rule Cracking Down on For-Profit Colleges

Erica L. Green at NYT > Politics - 1 hour ago
Education Secretary Betsy DeVos formally repealed an Obama-era regulation that would have forced for-profit colleges to prove their debt-laden graduates could find gainful employment.
 
There is no right to profit.
There is criminal fraud.
 

Kamala Harris Has Been Gearing Up for a Biden Showdown

Astead W. Herndon at NYT > Politics - 1 hour ago
Even before their heated exchange in the Democratic debate over school busing, Ms. Harris had been aiming to win over Mr. Biden’s core constituencies.
 
It may cost her.
 

McAleenan Says Arrests of Migrants on Border Expected to Decline by 25 Percent in June

Zolan Kanno-Youngs at NYT > Politics - 1 hour ago
He attributed the drop to Mexico cracking down on undocumented immigrants crossing the border and the expansion of a policy that forces migrants to wait in Mexico while their asylum cases are processed.
 
Promises.
 

A Breakfast Invitation Helps Rebuild a Crown Prince’s Standing

Peter Baker at NYT > Politics - 1 hour ago
Pushed to the side the last time the leaders of the Group of 20 met, the de facto Saudi leader, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, is back in the mainstream.
 
A cheap date.
 

Donald Trump Jr. Shares, Then Deletes, a Tweet Questioning Kamala Harris’s Race

Katie Rogers and Maggie Haberman at NYT > Politics - 1 hour ago
But the original tweet that questioned the racial background of a presidential candidate of Indian and Jamaican descent had already gone far and wide.
 
"The whole world is watching.
 

E. Jean Carroll, in Her Own Words

Maya Salam at NYT > Politics - 7 hours ago

16

Polling This Time In 2015

Ian Welsh at Ian Welsh - 8 hours ago
Found this tweet, thought it was important enough to share: Polling at this point in GOP race in 2015: Jeb Bush 22% Scott Walker 17% Marco Rubio 14% Ben Carson 11% Mike Huckabee 9% Rand Paul 7% Rick Perry 5% Ted Cruz 4% Chris Christie 4% Carly Fiorina 2% Donald Trump 1% Anyone who thinks […]
 
17 

Is Marianne Williamson a Fringe Candidate? Or a Likely One?

Gabrielle Bluestone at NYT > Politics - 9 hours ago

 
 
||

Friday, June 28, 2019

@20:09, , 6/28/19

|


1

European Talks With Iran End, Leaving Nuclear Issue Unsettled

David E. Sanger at NYT > Politics - 57 minutes ago
Iran’s deputy foreign minister said Tehran will now decide whether to follow through on a plan to breach limits on how much nuclear fuel the country can hold.
The reactor fuel can be sold. 
Holding it is a tool to use against Trump's irrational fear.

Republicans Revel in Biden’s Debate Troubles, but See a New Threat in Harris

Annie Karni and Jeremy W. Peters at NYT > Politics - 57 minutes ago
Trump campaign aides and allies acknowledged that the California senator could be a vexing rival and that the Democratic race will be more unpredictable than they had thought.
Biden is the Republicans favorite Democrat.

Matt Gaetz, a Trump Ally, Is in Hot Water Again for Cohen Threat

Nicholas Fandos at NYT > Politics - 57 minutes ago
Representative Matt Gaetz ignored the House Ethics Committee’s request for an interview as it examined an accusation of witness intimidation. Now he faces an ethics inquiry.
Matt Gaetz is not a wise man.

What We Know About Joe Biden’s Record on School Busing

Matt Stevens at NYT > Politics - 57 minutes ago
During the Democratic debate Thursday night, Senator Kamala Harris recalled Mr. Biden’s opposition to school busing in the 1970s. Here’s a look at the history.
Read it if you wish.

Senate Rejects Curb on Trump’s Authority to Strike Iran

The Senate shot down a measure that would have required President Trump to seek Congress’s approval before launching an offensive military strike on Iran.
Mitch McConnell engineered the vote.

Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in May, Lowest Since July 2007

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 3 hours ago
Fannie Mae reported that the Single-Family Serious Delinquency rate decreased to 0.70% in May, from 0.72% in April. The serious delinquency rate is down from 1.03% in May 2018. These are mortgage loans that are "three monthly payments or more past due or in foreclosure". The Fannie Mae serious delinquency rate peaked in February 2010 at 5.59%. This is the lowest serious delinquency rate for Fannie Mae since July 2007. [image: Fannie Freddie Seriously Delinquent Rate]*Click on graph for larger image* *By vintage*, for loans made in 2004 or earlier (3% of portfolio), 2.57% are ser... more » 
High incomes can afford big loans.  
7

A Day After Bruising Debate, Biden Pushes Back Against Criticism on Civil Rights

Julie Bosman and Katie Glueck at NYT > Politics - 5 hours ago
Multiple rivals attacked the former vice-president in Thursday’s debate, but he has survived setbacks before in this campaign.
Denial never should work against solid evidence.

Where Is Kamala Harris on Medicare for All vs. Private Insurance?

Margot Sanger-Katz at NYT > Politics - 5 hours ago
A candidate has a history of making conflicting comments about a divisive health care plan.
Everyone should get good health care.  
People can find other ways to die early.

E. Jean Carroll, in Her Own Words

Maya Salam at NYT > Politics - 5 hours ago
The writer who has accused President Trump of sexually assaulting her in the 1990s speaks to The New York Times.
Trump is known to lie.
10 

Polling This Time In 2015

Ian Welsh at Ian Welsh - 5 hours ago
Found this tweet, thought it was important enough to share: Polling at this point in GOP race in 2015: Jeb Bush 22% Scott Walker 17% Marco Rubio 14% Ben Carson 11% Mike Huckabee 9% Rand Paul 7% Rick Perry 5% Ted Cruz 4% Chris Christie 4% Carly Fiorina 2% Donald Trump 1% Anyone who thinks […]

Ian Welsh makes his point.
Mine is let us begin as we wish to continue.
Sooner is better.   As soon as you can is best.

11 

Earlier: Chicago PMI "First sub-50 reading since January 2017"

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 6 hours ago
From the Chicago PMI: Chicago Business Barometer – Declines to 49.7 in June *The MNI Chicago Business Barometer decreased by 4.5 points to 49.7 in June from 54.2 in May, marking the first sub-50 reading since January 2017*. Business confidence dipped significantly in Q2, with the Barometer averaging 52.2, down 13% on the previous quarter and almost 16% lower than Q2 2018. ... “The Barometer entered contraction territory, having remained above 50 for over two years. With customers rethinking their purchases, demand tumbled, and consequently firms pulled back production, weakening ov... more » 

This is not a happy indicator.

12 

Buttigieg’s Debate Remarks on Police Shooting Don’t Satisfy Some Back Home

Trip Gabriel at NYT > Politics - 7 hours ago
At Thursday’s presidential debate, Mr. Buttigieg, the South Bend mayor, was forced to address the police shooting that has consumed his campaign for more than a week.

Some people are never satisfied.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TytGOeiW0aE

The enthusiasts know no limits.

13 

What We Learned From the 2020 Democratic Debates

Shane Goldmacher at NYT > Politics - 7 hours ago
Joe Biden is a fragile front-runner. Kamala Harris has a big chance to build political momentum. And the competition between Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders is intensifying.

Ok; I did not ask for opinions.

14 

Is Marianne Williamson a Fringe Candidate? Or a Likely One?

Gabrielle Bluestone at NYT > Politics - 7 hours ago
After Donald Trump, what should a president be, anyway?

"“A person who has no conscience, a person who has no remorse, is a sociopath. And an economic system that displays no conscience and no remorse, for whom making your own short-term profit, a justifiable bottom line, no matter who or what gets hurt, is a sociopathic economic system,” Ms. Williamson said earlier this year on the campaign trail"

 Marianne Williamson is not my choice.  She is correct.

15 

What We Learned From the 2020 Democratic Debates

Shane Goldmacher at NYT > Politics - 7 hours ago


A first lesson.


16

Trump’s Case for China Tariffs Fails to Persuade Americans

Ben Casselman and Jim Tankersley at NYT > Politics - 7 hours ago
A survey finds that voters think the trade measures will be bad for the United States, and that even most Republicans say they will lead to higher prices.

Trump is an autocrat.
He does not do negotiation.

17 

Democrat vs. Democrat: How Health Care Is Dividing the Party

Abby Goodnough and Thomas Kaplan at NYT > Politics - 7 hours ago
An issue that united the party in 2018 has potential to fracture it in 2020.

The selection of the Democratic candidate is begun.

18 

Supreme Court Will Not Hear Bid to Revive Alabama Abortion Ban

Adam Liptak at NYT > Politics - 7 hours ago
The Supreme Court declined to revive an Alabama law that would have banned a method used in 99 percent of abortions performed in the state after 15 weeks.

Abortion remains the law of the land.

19 

Kamala Harris Makes the Case That Joe Biden Should Pass That Torch to Her

Matt Flegenheimer and Alexander Burns at NYT > Politics - 7 hours ago
With one exchange about race, the senator began to take aim at Joe Biden’s tenuous hold on his front-runner status in the Democratic presidential field.

Passing the torch is not within Bidens power.

20 

Q2 GDP Forecasts: Around 1.5%

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 8 hours ago
From Goldman Sachs: The May core PCE price index increased 0.19% month-over-month, close to expectations, but the year-over-year exceeded consensus by a tenth reflecting the price revisions in yesterday’s GDP report. Personal spending increased by 0.4% and was revised higher in April, and the personal saving rate remained flat at 6.1%. *We left our Q2 GDP tracking estimate unchanged at +1.5% (qoq ar).* [June 28 estimate] emphasis added From the NY Fed Nowcasting Report The New York Fed Staff Nowcast stands at *1.3% for 2019:Q2* and 1.2% for 2019:Q3. [June 28 estimate]. And from t... more » 

This does not seem a happy number.


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