Sunday, January 22, 2012

@21:12, 01/21/12

I have no idea when Greece will break.   It will be this year probably.
Opinion seems to be that we are in a slow recovery.
There are a few who have noticed the large number of pending foreclosures.
There are a few who are thinking about contagion from Europe.
I find that most of the worried "voices" believe that money is or should be real.
Money is not real and has not been real for many years.
Taxes exist for only one reason.  They take money out of the economy.
They also maintain the lender's faith that the bonds will be paid as promised.
If we did not take money out of the economy the value of money would collapse.

http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2012/01/greek-debt-deal-update-talks-continue.html

"Greek Debt Deal Update: Talks Continue

by CalculatedRisk on 1/21/2012 08:37:00 PM
The talks are continuing, but it is unclear if a deal will be reached before the eurozone finance minister meeting on Monday.

From the Athens News: Dallara leaves Athens, talks to continue: sources

The representatives of Greece's private creditors have left Athens and debt swap talks will continue over the phone during the weekend, sources close to the negotiations said, adding that it was unlikely that a deal would be clinched before next week.
...
Athens is anxious to strike a deal before a meeting on Monday of eurozone finance ministers, just in time to set in motion the paperwork and approvals necessary to receive a new injection of aid to avoid a messy bankruptcy in March.

"The elements of an unprecedented voluntary PSI are coming into place," the Institute of International Finance said in a statement after Friday's three-hour evening negotiation session, referring to the bond swap scheme.
From the Financial Times: Bondholders face additional losses on Greek debt
The Institute of International Finance, representing holders of some €200bn of Greek debt, on Saturday denied rumours the talks had stalled, saying that experts from its steering committee “will be working with Greek government officials on many aspects of the PSI.""
The above does not seem good.

http://hat4uk.wordpress.com/2012/01/21/greek-debt-talks-legals-still-changing-stuff-every-ten-minutes/
The slog believes money is or should be real.

GREEK DEBT TALKS: LEGALS STILL ‘CHANGING STUFF EVERY TEN MINUTES’

How inflammable is the Greek Debt negotiation?
Marathon is a word derived from ancient Greek, so perhaps the Debtathon in Athens should not be unexpected. But it does nevertheless set potentially disturbing precedents for what The Slog predicts is merely the first of many such mysterious negotiations before some kind of sanity returns to the lender-sovereign relationship.
My own source is closest to he/she who is keeping Reuters informed, in that while there are still many balls in the air, the general consensus among those involved is that a deal will be done, and we are now down to the tweeks and clarifications that inevitably precede those 3.50 am closures which are standard procedure in any business deal.
“The lawyers are still shuttling in and out with small changes,” says my veteran source, “But I do not see any major hold-out issues now. There may be one or two mavericks trying for that, but the mood now is or doing this thing”.
However, the Wall Street Journal doesn’t agree…and I’m not one to question the paper’s credentials on this kind of stuff.
‘The two sides had appeared to be closing in on a deal that would give creditors new bonds paying a 3.5% coupon for shorter maturities and rising to a cap of 4.6% on longer-dated bonds. The average coupon would amount to around 4%,’ the WSJ reported, ‘But people familiar with the matter said that the IMF and Germany were pushing for a lower rate, concerned that Greece’s debt wouldn’t return to sustainable levels if the average coupon on the new bonds was around 4%’.
The coupon range being quoted there is wider than The Slog’s information from last Thursday night. But given the Brussels-Berlin-Paris game is to stall on default for as long as possible, their search for such a deal makes sense: they are still pushing for an ultra-low start to keep the pot boiling. Once the key eurozone banks are suitably sandbagged, that particular Troika won’t give a crap what debt-mountain is then faced by the Greeks. There are times when the cynicism of this process beggars even my hard-bitten belief.
“We may not be able to reach a deal before Monday’s eurogroup. This is unfortunate because the finance ministers were supposed to have crucial talks on the [second] bailout loan provided there was a deal on the haircut,” a senior euro-zone government official said.
So maybe it really is going down to the wire – but I fancy this is brinkmanship. A deal will be done. There is too much for everyone to lose if it isn’t."

This feels like Bare Sterns all over again.
You Talkin' to Me?
Please do.   Soon.

Your turn.

http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2012/01/spains-indignados-and-the-globalization-of-dissent.html

Saturday, January 21, 2012

Spain’s “Indignados” and the Globalization of Dissent

Real News Network highlighted a foreign broadcast on Spain’s “indignados,” and the way they have been providing advice to other anti-neoliberal movements around the world. I’m not sure it has gotten the attention it warrants, but the people that were involved in Occupy Wall Street early on conferred a good deal with seasoned protestors in Spain and Egypt.

More at The Real News

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financialcrisis/

Financial crisis latest news

Jefferies to make move for RBS cash equities

Jefferies has initiated one-on-one meetings with staff in Royal Bank of Scotland's equities business as the US investment bank prepares to make an offer for the state-backed lender's Hoare Govett corporate broking business.
21 Jan 2012
| Comment

We shouldn’t try to outlaw bankers’ greed

Making excessive pay criminal is a step to tyranny, and it wouldn't work, says Janet Daley.
21 Jan 2012
| 158 Comments

Eurozone burns money while the banks fiddle their balance sheets

'Nothing is safe that does not show it can bear discussion and publicity."
21 Jan 2012
| 40 Comments

Debt crisis: Greek deal hits setback as 'haircut' talks suspended

Crucial talks over a debt deal between lenders and the Greek government were suspended over the weekend as the representative of bondholders flew out of Athens empty handed.
21 Jan 2012
| 89 Comments

The UK's economic highs and lows

Economists are divided on the outlook for the UK this year, with recent data painting a mixed picture for 2012. Here is a snapshot of the British economy's bright and dark spots.
21 Jan 2012

Economy predicted to shrink in Q4

The British economy contracted in the fourth quarter as the eurozone debt crisis took its toll, figures published next week are expected to show.
21 Jan 2012
| 3 Comments

Debt crisis: Greek talks continue despite creditors 'leaving Athens'

Crunch talks to thrash out how big a haircut Greece’s private bondholders can withstand are set to continue despite representatives of the creditors reportedly leaving Athens.
21 Jan 2012
| 292 Comments

What happens if Greece defaults?

Greece is expected to announce a bond swap deal with private sector creditors that will see at least half the value of their investments in its debt written off. We look at what this means for investors, the wider market, and Greece itself.
21 Jan 2012
| 50 Comments

FSA wants bonuses to reflect PPI losses

Banks are under pressure from their watchdog to shrink their bonuses to reflect their multi billion-pound bill for the payment protection insurance (PPI) mis-selling scandal.
21 Jan 2012
| 3 Comments

Debt crisis: as it happened January 20, 2012

Investors in Greek bonds are reportedly facing a haircut of up to 70pc as IIF talks continue over the weekend, while Germany would consider a bourse tax as a compromise if this could bring Britain in line with its EU partners.
20 Jan 2012
| 613 Comments

The rise of the overclass

A super-rich elite that is cut off from the rest of us is defining the political debate, says Peter Oborne.
20 Jan 2012
| 846 Comments

For Britain to flourish, so must capitalism

Telegraph View: David Cameron said Britain's salvation lay in enterprise, innovation and competition.
20 Jan 2012
| 55 Comments

Votes Percent   Delegates*
Newt-gingrich_50
Newt Gingrich
243,153 40.4%
23
Mitt-romney_50
Mitt Romney
167,279 27.8   
Rick-santorum_50
Rick Santorum
102,055 17.0   
Ron-paul_50
Ron Paul
77,993 13.0   
Others_50
Others Show all Show-more-arrow
10,686 1.8   
Herman-cain_50
Herman Cain
6,324 1.1   
Rick-perry_50
Rick Perry
2,494 0.4   
Jon-huntsman_50
Jon Huntsman
1,161 0.2   
Michele-bachmann_50
Michele Bachmann
494 0.1   
Others_50
Gary Johnson
213 0.0   
* Delegate totals from the Associated Press. The Republican Party penalized South Carolina for holding its primary before February 2012 by taking away half of its delegates.

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