Thursday, October 29, 2020

@21:00, , 10/28/20

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1

Into the Unknown
Lisa Lerer, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 1 hour ago
At this point, I’m thinking less about polling averages and more about a few key variables that we can’t predict.
 
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/
 
I will be surprised if Biden Does not win.

2
 
Trump’s Closing Argument on Virus Clashes With Science, and Voters’ Lives
Alexander Burns, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 1 hour ago
The president has continued to downplay he severity of the coronavirus and declare before largely maskless crowds that it is vanishing. The surge in new cases across the country suggests otherwise.
 
The science does not try to measure hope.
 
3
Biden’s Limited Campaign Schedule: Wise Tactic or Misguided Gamble?
Katie Glueck, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 2 hours ago
Joe Biden is counting on voters to view him as a safe and steady alternative to a president who regularly dismisses virus precautions. But his measured campaign pace may be scrutinized if he loses.
 
The plan is not to lose.
 
4
Miles Taylor, a Former Homeland Security Official, Reveals He Was ‘Anonymous’
Michael D. Shear, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 2 hours ago
Mr. Taylor, whose criticisms of President Trump in a New York Times Op-Ed article and subsequent book, roiled Washington and infuriated Mr. Trump, resigned from the administration last year and endorsed Joe Biden this summer.
 
Miles Taylor spoke truth to power.
He is excessively alone.
 
5
U.S. Charges 8 in Plot to Harass Chinese Dissidents
Michael S. Schmidt, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 2 hours ago
Law enforcement officials said that Chinese operatives hired private investigators to locate their targets and then stalked, surveilled and threatened them.
 
Asylum shoud be more effective.
 
6
The 2020 Campaign Is the Most Expensive Ever (By a Lot)
Shane Goldmacher, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 2 hours ago
The total cost of the races for the White House, the Senate and the House is expected to hit nearly $14 billion.
 
There is no reason to be cheap.
 
7
Republicans Blast Social Media C.E.O.s While Democrats Deride Hearing
David McCabe and Cecilia Kang, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 4 hours ago
Republican senators accused the leaders of Twitter, Facebook and Google of censorship. Democrats denounced that as posturing.
 
Change the business model to change the content.
 
8
Handwritten Letters Are Being Used to Increase Voter Turnout
Shay Castle, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 4 hours ago
To mobilize new or inactive voters this election, adding a personal touch has been key.
 
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/
 
9
Polls Show Trump-Biden Racial Gap is Shrinking
Nate Cohn, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 4 hours ago
Racial and ethnic divides? Actually, Biden is making gains with white voters, and Trump with nonwhite ones.
 
Propaganda works.
 
10
U.S. to Establish Embassy in the Maldives
Pranshu Verma, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 5 hours ago
Competing for influence in the region with China, the United States will for the first time have an embassy in the tiny nation of islands off the shore of India.
 
Another ambassador has a post.
 
11
Trump Merchandise Outsells Biden's, China's Factories Say
Keith Bradsher, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 6 hours ago
In a positive but highly unscientific sign for the president, orders for his campaign materials outpace those for his rival’s at a major market for banners, caps and other souvenirs.
 
Door prizes.
 
12
Michigan Poll Shows Biden With 8-Point Lead Over Trump
Jeremy W. Peters and Isabella Grullón Paz, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 6 hours ago
While President Trump counted Michigan as one of his most surprising victories in 2016, he is struggling to maintain support among white voters in the state this year.
 
Hoods are not selling well in Michigan.
 
13
In Georgia, Democrats Target the True Silent Majority: People Who Don’t Vote
Astead W. Herndon, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 7 hours ago
As Democrats eye the Southern battleground, high turnout will be crucial for them, and that means persuading nonvoters to participate. But experts warn that changing electorates is hard and complicated.
 
The Trump mob must be opposed.
 
14
Donald Trump Made Them Furious, and Organized. Now Is the Big Test.
Jennifer Medina, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 8 hours ago
For a group of women in western Pennsylvania, 2016 was a shock and a reason to get politically involved for the first time. “Forget about taking no for an answer, they’re not even asking for permission.”
 
Vote.
 
15
In 2020, the Suburbs Are Stressed
Ruth Fremson, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 12 hours ago
A photographer visited neighborhoods in Midwest battlegrounds to see how politics have intruded on tranquillity.
 
Banks have no mercy.
 
16
An Early-Voting Cascade
Giovanni Russonello, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 13 hours ago
Seventy million votes are now cast, over half of total 2016 turnout: This is your morning tip sheet.
 
Anybody but Trump.
 
17
To Do Politics or Not Do Politics? Tech Start-Ups Are Divided
Erin Griffith and Nathaniel Popper, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 15 hours ago
Coinbase, Expensify, Soylent, Clubhouse and others are embroiled in a culture war over politics and the workplace.
 
There is no escape from politics.
 
18
N.Y.C. Poll Workers: Young, Engaged and Tired of Their Apartments
Elspeth Velten and Jazmine Hughes, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 15 hours ago
Many see the job as their civic duty, especially during a pandemic.
 
There is no lack of labor.
 
19
Interview Part 2: Politics Thru Climate Change
Ian Welsh, Ian Welsh - 17 hours ago
This second excerpt from my interview is more interesting and longer. This is the second clip from my interview with Ian Welsh (Ian blogs at ianwelsh.net). For this segment, we went on a wild ride discussing the big picture mess that is US politics and society more broadly. I asked Ian what might happen if […]
 
Ian Welsh is a puritan.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/
Trump will leave the office of president.
The poor will not be rescued before January.
 
20
Mail-In Ballots May Arrive Late, Americans Abroad Fear
Jennifer Jett, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 19 hours ago
Facing global mail slowdowns and a worsening pandemic, Americans abroad worry their mail-in ballots will not arrive on time, and some are suing to allow voting by fax or email.
 
The Trump administration is attempting to slow the mail and shorten the counting window.

 
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
 
@8:35
 
1
Americans Abroad Wait to See if Mail-In Ballots They Mailed Will Arrive
Jennifer Jett, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 7 hours ago
Facing global mail slowdowns and a worsening pandemic, Americans abroad worry their mail-in ballots will not arrive on time, and some are suing to allow voting by fax or email.
 
The mail has been slowed by the Trump administration.
 
10
Two Religion Reporters Cover Where Faith and Politics Meet
Will Dudding, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 7 hours ago
Two Times journalists talk about the challenges of covering religion during a pandemic in a campaign season.
 
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nullius_in_verba
 
11
Trump Campaign Website Is Defaced by Hackers
Nicole Perlroth, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 10 hours ago
The defacement lasted less than 30 minutes, and the hackers appeared to be looking to generate cryptocurrency.
 
The money is most important.
 
12
Biden, Invoking F.D.R., Tries to Siphon Off Trump Voters in Georgia
Jonathan Martin and Katie Glueck, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 11 hours ago
In the rural hills of Georgia, a state he is seeking to win, Joseph R. Biden Jr. called for “healing” and “restoration,” and a commitment to a common purpose to meet the challenges of the coronavirus.
 
Rural Georgia knows it is broke.
 
13
How Mitch McConnell Delivered Justice Amy Coney Barrett’s Rapid Confirmation
Carl Hulse, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 11 hours ago
Ignoring cries of blatant hypocrisy, the Senate leader pushed through pre-election approval, capping off his reshaping of the judiciary.
 
Mitch McConnell had the votes and no future.
 
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/kentucky/ 

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/senate/kentucky/

Territorial status?
 
14
I Approve This Message. Now, Remember Your Secrecy Envelope.
Nick Corasaniti, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 13 hours ago
With fewer voters to persuade and more votes being cast early, some political ad campaigns are focused on getting people to send in their ballots, not on pitching a particular candidate.
 
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/ 

15
Time Is Short, Mail Is Slow and Courts Keep Changing the Rules. What Should Voters Do?
Nick Corasaniti and Zach Montague, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 13 hours ago
The short answer: Use a drop box or try to vote in person.
 
16
California Tax Revolt Faces a Retreat, 40 Years Later
Conor Dougherty, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 13 hours ago
Proposition 13 in 1978 curbed property tax increases. Now voters may strip protection for commercial buildings, helping hard-hit local budgets.
 
Taxes control the currency.
 
17
How Trump Maneuvered His Way Out of Trouble in Chicago
David Enrich, Russ Buettner, Mike McIntire and Susanne Craig, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 14 hours ago
 
Donald Trump had a skilled lawyer and accountant.
When his skyscraper proved a disappointment, Donald Trump defaulted on his loans, sued his bank, got much of the debt forgiven — and largely avoided paying taxes on it.
 
Donald Trump hired his rescue.
It is not the story he sold the public.
 
18
Supreme Court Decision Has Wisconsin Democrats Hunting Down Every Last Vote
Stephanie Saul, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 14 hours ago
As the Biden campaign fights to win the battleground state, a court decision has spurred an all-out effort to track down every last vote.
 
The window on absentee ballots is closing at the Republicans request.
 
19 

Getting believed is the hard part.


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