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1
Trump’s Demand for an End to Illegal Immigration Hangs Over Mexico Talks
Michael D. Shear at NYT > Politics - 1 hour ago
Asylum is a right guaranteed by international law.
John Bolton does not respect international law.
2
Fed's Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth Increased in Q1
Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 2 hours ago
The Federal Reserve released the Q1 2019 Flow of Funds report today: Flow
of Funds.
According to the Fed, household net worth increased in Q1 2019 to $108.6
trillion, from $104.0 trillion in Q4 2018.
The Fed estimated that the value of household real estate increased to
$26.1 trillion in Q1. The value of household real estate is now above the
bubble peak in early 2006 - but not adjusted for inflation, and this also
includes new construction.
[image: Household Net Worth as Percent of GDP] *Click on graph for larger
image.*
The first graph shows Households and Nonprofit net worth as... more »
The top .1% is doing well.
3
Democrats Take Aim at Silicon Valley. They Take Its Cash, Too.
Shane Goldmacher and Stephanie Saul at NYT > Politics - 3 hours ago
Until recently Silicon Valley was seen as one of the few relatively
untainted sources of big-money donations for Democratic candidates. Now,
that’s changing.
Social media is a terrible idea.
Regulation is needed.
The open internet works toward equality.
Unlimited intelectual property limits equality and novelty.
4
Las Vegas Real Estate in May: Sales Up 4% YoY, Inventory up 98% YoY
Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 4 hours ago
This is a key former distressed market to follow since Las Vegas saw the
largest price decline, following the housing bubble, of any of the
Case-Shiller composite 20 cities.
The Greater Las Vegas Association of Realtors reported Local home prices
stuck at $300,000, with more homes on the market, GLVAR housing statistics
for May 2019
For the third straight month, the Greater Las Vegas Association of
REALTORS® (GLVAR) reported that local home prices are hovering at $300,000
while the number of homes on the market continues to increase.
...
*The total number of existing local homes, c... more »
The Mobs are a predator culture.
5
The Curse of Knowledge and Predicting Electoral Results
Ian Welsh at Ian Welsh - 4 hours ago
I’m good at predicting some thing. Economic events, longer term political
and social trends, and so on. When I was younger, I was also good at
predicting elections. Then I started getting election results wrong. It
took me a while to figure out why. I knew too much. When I was young, I
didn’t follow […]
It is the curse of the Buddha.
" Nothing will be the same as once it was"
6
Trade Deficit Decreased to $50.8 Billion in April
Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 5 hours ago
From the Department of Commerce reported:
The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis announced
today that the goods and services deficit was $50.8 billion in April, down
$1.1 billion from $51.9 billion in March, revised.
April exports were $206.8 billion, $4.6 billion less than March exports.
April imports were $257.6 billion, $5.7 billion less than March imports.
[image: U.S. Trade Exports Imports] *Click on graph for larger image.*
Exports and imports decreased in April.
Exports are 25% above the pre-recession peak and down 1% compared to April
2018; impor... more »
Tariffs make a difference.
It is not a big difference.
7
Europe Vows to Spend More on Defense, but U.S. Still Isn’t Happy
Steven Erlanger at NYT > Politics - 5 hours ago
Washington says it supports allies’ efforts to increase military funding
and capacity, but has complained that the plans cut out American
contractors.
A defensive alliance does not have a positive cash flow for any of the members.
Cooperation costs less than competition.
Capitalism is not a management model for government internally or externally.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tragedy_of_the_commons
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/06/06/opinion/health-care-nhs-trump.html
8
Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 218,000
Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 5 hours ago
The DOL reported:
In the week ending June 1, the advance figure for *seasonally adjusted
initial claims was 218,000*, unchanged from the previous week's revised
level. The previous week's level was revised up by 3,000 from 215,000 to
218,000. The 4-week moving average was 215,000, a decrease of 2,500 from
the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average was
revised up by 750 from 216,750 to 217,500.
emphasis added
The previous week was revised up.
The following graph shows the 4-week moving average of weekly claims since
1971.
*Click on graph for larger image.*
T... more »
The parameter is essential.
An honest measurement evaluates a society.
This measurement is limited.
9
Are These Teenagers Really Running a Presidential Campaign? Yes. (Maybe.)
Jamie Lauren Keiles at NYT > Politics - 8 hours ago
The retired senator Mike Gravel gave two young fans his Twitter password
and permission to campaign in his name. It might be a stunt — or the future
of politics.
Educational and distracting.
10
Is This Gay, Sober, Poem-Writing City Council Leader the Mayor New Yorkers Want?
Jeffery C. Mays at NYT > Politics - 10 hours ago
Corey Johnson, the Council speaker, is using his personality to draw
attention to issues as Mayor Bill de Blasio traverses the country to pursue
a long-shot presidential bid.
I don't know.
I would let him discover his answer.
11
On Politics: Border Arrests at 7-Year High
NYT > Politics - 10 hours ago
More than 144,200 migrants were arrested and taken into custody along the
southwestern border in May, a 32 percent increase from April.
Southern America has problems. The resolution is not on the southern U.S. border.
Donald Trump and his supporters are a problem.
Their dammage to the world must be snubbed.
12
Pentagon Ends Review of Deadly Niger Ambush, Again Blaming Junior Officers
Eric Schmitt at NYT > Politics - 12 hours ago
Military leaders have struggled over how to apportion blame over the deaths
of four American soldiers amid family members’ demands to hold more senior
officers accountable.
Any blame must rest with the politics of the situation.
The military is sacrificial.
https://www.poetryfoundation.org/poems/45319/the-charge-of-the-light-brigade
13
An Orwellian Tale? Trump Denies, Then Confirms, ‘Nasty’ Comments About Meghan Markle
Katie Rogers at NYT > Politics - 16 hours ago
The president’s comments about the Duchess of Sussex continued an Orwellian
saga that he single-handedly created, forcefully denied and then revived.
Donald Trump is a racist.
14
Elizabeth Warren, on MSNBC, Calls Hyde Amendment an Assault on the ‘Most Vulnerable’ Women
Maggie Astor at NYT > Politics - 16 hours ago
Ms. Warren sharply criticized Joe Biden for supporting the measure, drawing
an explicit link between abortion rights and economic inequality.
Yes.
15
Trump Administration Sharply Curtails Fetal Tissue Medical Research
Abby Goodnough at NYT > Politics - 18 hours ago
The Trump administration will be ending a major university contract
involving fetal tissue research and will soon stop such work at the
National Institutes of Health.
Another reason to remove the Trump administration.
16
Trump Sets Off Fireworks of a Different Sort With Fourth of July Speech Plan
Peter Baker at NYT > Politics - 18 hours ago
The mayor’s office confirmed that the president intends to speak from the
Lincoln Memorial, prompting criticism that he is politicizing a nonpartisan
celebration.
Another reason to remove the Trump administration.
17
Which States Will Be Hit Hardest by Trump’s Tariffs on Mexico
Karl Russell and Ana Swanson at NYT > Politics - 18 hours ago
Tariffs on Mexican imports will ripple across the United States and could
cause significant pain for consumers and businesses, even those far from
the southwestern border.
Another reason to remove the Trump administration.
Which state is most injured by a presidential action is the wrong question.
https://twitter.com/paulkrugman/status/1136995926894096384
https://twitter.com/paulkrugman/status/1136995926894096384
18
Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Trade Deficit, Q1 Flow of Funds
Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 19 hours ago
Thursday:
• At 8:30 AM ET, The *initial weekly unemployment claims* report will be
released. The consensus is for 215 thousand initial claims, unchanged from
215 thousand last week.
• At 8:30 AM, *Trade Balance report* for April from the Census Bureau. The
consensus is the trade deficit to be $50.7 billion. The U.S. trade deficit
was at $50.0 Billion the previous month.
• At 12:00 PM, *Q1 Flow of Funds Accounts of the United States* from the
Federal Reserve.
Paul Krugman Retweeted
Paul Krugman Retweeted
Here is the puzzling/troubling trend line on nominal wage growth. This could all turn out to have been noise in the data, but for now it is certainly looking like all the celebrations of accelerating wages six months ago (mine included) were premature.
Joe Biden Still Backs Hyde Amendment, Which Bans Federal Funds for Abortions
Katie Glueck at NYT > Politics - 21 hours ago
Mr. Biden faced a backlash over his support for the measure, which
advocates say disproportionately harms poor women and women of color.
I will not support Biden.
20
I will not support Biden.
20
Tech Giants Amass a Lobbying Army for an Epic Washington Battle
Cecilia Kang and Kenneth P. Vogel at NYT > Politics - 21 hours ago
Amazon, Apple, Facebook and Google, facing the growing possibility of
antitrust action and legislation to rein in their power, are spending
freely to gain influence and access.
The "Tech Giants" must lose this battle.
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The "Tech Giants" must lose this battle.
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