Saturday, June 22, 2019

@13:00, , 6/22/19

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1

People Who Can’t Vote Still Count Politically in America. What if That Changes?

Emily Badger at NYT > Politics - 2 hours ago
The resulting maps would tend to shift power to areas with more residents that are white and older.
 
The consequences would be dire.
Representation of residents has been constitutionally mandated from the formation.
It is the reason for the five eighths rule.
Asking about citozenship is unconstitutional.
 

Schedule for Week of June 23, 2019

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 4 hours ago
The key reports this week are the third estimate of Q1 GDP, May New Home Sales, Case-Shiller house prices, and Personal Income and Outlays for May. For manufacturing, the June Dallas, Richmond and Kansas City Fed manufacturing surveys will be released. On Tuesday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell speaks on the Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy. *----- Monday, June 24th -----* 8:30 AM ET: *Chicago Fed National Activity Index* for May. This is a composite index of other data. 10:30 AM: *Dallas Fed Survey of Manufacturing Activity* for June. *----- Tuesday, June 25th -----* [image: Case-Shi... more » 
 
The numbers will be interesting.  
 
3

Trump Kicks Off 2020, Biden’s Backlash, Warren on Prisons: This Week in the 2020 Race

Matt Stevens at NYT > Politics - 5 hours ago
The president goes to Orlando, the former vice president invokes two segregationist senators and Elizabeth Warren says she’ll ban private prisons.
 
I have been dealing with my left wrist and my car.
My attention has been limited. 
 

What the 2020 Democrats Are Like Behind the Scenes

Alexander Burns at NYT > Politics - 6 hours ago
We spent three months putting the 2020 Democrats on the spot. We were skeptical that most of them would participate. Here’s what it was like.
 
I have no reason not to prefer Elizabeth Warren.
 

They Each Backed Off Strikes: Trump in ’19, Obama in ’13, Clinton in ’98

Mark Landler at NYT > Politics - 11 hours ago
The immediate comparison was to Barack Obama’s decision not to attack Syria. But the closer one might be to a last-minute choice by Bill Clinton over a missile strike on Iraq.
 
Iran has been good.
Trump should rejoin the nuclear agreement and lift the sanctions on Iram.
 

Biden Defends Eastland Remarks but Omits Some History

Thomas Kaplan and Linda Qiu at NYT > Politics - 11 hours ago
In defending his comments about working with segregationists, Joe Biden cited his record on civil rights and his relationship with Ted Kennedy. But he didn’t address his opposition to busing.
 
Biden should not be president except if the alternative is another term for Trump.
 

Urged to Launch an Attack, Trump Listened to the Skeptics Who Said It Would Be a Costly Mistake

Peter Baker, Maggie Haberman and Thomas Gibbons-Neff at NYT > Politics - 15 hours ago
Meetings and memos aside, the president trusted his instincts more than institutions and was willing to defy a roomful of advisers.
 
I doubt Trump listened.
 

Paul Manafort and Sean Hannity Traded Complaints and Tidbits for Months, Texts Show

Kenneth P. Vogel and Adam Goldman at NYT > Politics - 15 hours ago
Unsealed private messages reveal that the Fox News host expressed support for, but also sought information from, President Trump’s former campaign chairman.
 
Trivial. 
 

Hoping to Woo Black Voters, Democratic Candidates Gather at James Clyburn’s Fish Fry

Jonathan Martin at NYT > Politics - 15 hours ago
The annual event is the first major party gathering in South Carolina and the first chance for presidential hopefuls to test their appeal to a majority black electorate.
 
Going is required.
 
10 

ICE Is Expected to Begin Operation on Sunday Targeting 2,000 Immigrant Family Members

Zolan Kanno-Youngs at NYT > Politics - 15 hours ago
The operation will focus on undocumented migrants in at least 10 major cities across the country and who had their cases expedited and were served deportation orders.
 
Immigration and Customs Enforcement should not exist.
It is a secret police.
 
11 

BLS: Unemployment Rates in May at New Series Lows in Texas and Vermont

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 16 hours ago
From the BLS: Regional and State Employment and Unemployment Summary *Unemployment rates were lower in May in 6 states*, higher in 2 states, and stable in 42 states and the District of Columbia, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. ... Vermont had the lowest unemployment rate in May, 2.1 percent. The rates in Texas (3.5 percent) and Vermont (2.1 percent) set new series lows. (All state series begin in 1976.) Alaska had the highest jobless rate, 6.4 percent. emphasis added [image: State Unemployment]*Click on graph for larger image.* This graph shows the number of sta... more » 
 
Discouraged workers do not seek work.
 
12 

Pete Buttigieg Leaves Campaign Trail After Fatal Police Shooting. Reality Rears Its Head.

Trip Gabriel at NYT > Politics - 17 hours ago
Mr. Buttigieg, the mayor of South Bend, Ind., attended a heated protest following the shooting of a black man by the police there.
 
Mayor Pete Buttigieg has pressing work.
 
13 

Trump’s Iran Response Underlines Republican Rift Over National Security

Julie Hirschfeld Davis at NYT > Politics - 17 hours ago
The rift has rekindled debate over lawmakers’ roles in matters of war and peace and pointed up deep concerns among some Republicans, who are normally loath to criticize the president over national security.
 
Trump recieved orders.
 
14 

The Oil Market Shows It Can Take a Punch

Stanley Reed at NYT > Politics - 17 hours ago
The Persian Gulf crisis has not ignited a major price spike, thanks to growing oil production in the U.S. and a slowing in overall demand.
 
The "false flag operation" failed.
 
15 

Felix Sater, Trump Associate, Skips House Hearing and Now Faces a Subpoena

Nicholas Fandos at NYT > Politics - 19 hours ago
House Democrats want to hear from Mr. Sater about his pursuit of a real estate deal in Moscow with a Trump Organization lawyer during the 2016 campaign.
 
The investigation continues.
 
16 

An E-Book Reader

Ian Welsh at Ian Welsh - 20 hours ago
A small break from more serious posts. I’m the sorta guy who takes a book almost everywhere. When I was younger I’d grab a paperback and read it while walking wherever I was going. I certainly never get on a bus, train or plane without a book, and often multiple books. And as for classes […]
 
Ian Welsh makes a solid point.
 
17 

Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased Year-over-year

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 21 hours ago
From HotelNewsNow.com: STR: US hotel results for week ending 15 June The U.S. hotel industry reported mixed year-over-year results in the three key performance metrics during the week of 9-15 June 2019, according to data from STR. In comparison with the week of 10-16 June 2018, the industry recorded the following: • *Occupancy: -0.6% to 73.7%* • Average daily rate (ADR): +1.9% to US$134.59 • Revenue per available room (RevPAR): +1.3% to US$99.22 emphasis added The following graph shows the seasonal pattern for the hotel occupancy rate using the four week average. [image: Hotel Occ... more » 
 
It is still noise.  
 
18

In Property Rights Case, Justices Sharply Debate Power of Precedent

Adam Liptak at NYT > Politics - 22 hours ago
In a 5-to-4 ruling, the Supreme Court overruled its second precedent in a little over a month.
 
The power of the federal government has been limited by the states.
The states have often been wrong in the past.
The nation is now faced with general governmental illegitimacy.
My opinion is this is a constitutional crisis. 
 
19 

California Wildfire Fund Would Put Aside $21 Billion for Damage Claims

Ivan Penn and Peter Eavis at NYT > Politics - 22 hours ago
Gov. Gavin Newsom’s proposal would also protect power company customers from the kind of huge claims that have helped push Pacific Gas & Electric into bankruptcy.
 
The amount is small.
A limited fund is the wrong policy. 
 
20 

Blue States Roll Out Aggressive Climate Strategies. Red States Keep to the Sidelines.

Brad Plumer at NYT > Politics - 22 hours ago
The widening divide between states on climate-change policy comes with the potential to cement an economic and social divide for years to come.
 
The "red states " are wrong.
Climate change is a world problem shading to a world disaster.
Everyone will suffer.
 
"Begger thy neighbor" is worse than useless.
 
 
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