Tuesday, January 31, 2012

@20:53, 01/30/12 4

Six hours work.
http://idealab.talkingpointsmemo.com/2012/01/solar-trade-war-looms-as-us-considers-tariffs-on-china.php?ref=fpblg

It looks like Europe has made no real progress on finance.

http://hat4uk.wordpress.com/2012/01/31/ezone-crisis-slog-prediction-vindicated-as-banks-need-another-trillion-from-the-ecb/
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        KRUGMAN Blog:
        January 30, 2012, 4:17 pm

        Eurozone Problems

        I’m giving a talk in Paris tomorrow. Here are some slides; they won’t come as a shock to regular readers, but it may be useful to see them all in one place.

        First, I make the case that the overall economic crisis is driven by private debt, not public debt:
        Then I point to the huge swing of the private sector into financial surplus, which necessitated large public deficits to avoid a much deeper slump:
        I then turn to Europe, which has the additional problem of a capital flow bubble from north to south induced by the euro, which has to be reversed:
        The counterpart of these current account imbalances was a large divergence in relative price levels:
        Implicitly, Europe is relying on “internal devaluation” to reverse this divergence. But the reality is that this is very hard given nominal rigidity, even in Ireland, which is wrongly held up as an example of successful adjustment:
        Also, Europe has bought into the notion that fiscal irresponsibility is at the heart of the crisis, which is true only of Greece and not true of the troubled countries as a group:
        And even on the IMF’s reckoning, none of the austerity countries is plausibly on the road to a tolerable fiscal situation:


        The Telegraph:

        Portuguese storm gathers as EU leaders fight over Greece

        Surging borrowing costs in Portugal have raised the spectre of a second full-fledged contagion crisis in the eurozone, eclipsing the latest efforts by European Union leaders in Brussels to agree on Europe's bail-out machinery and a strategy for Greece.
        30 Jan 2012
        | 24 Comments

        Debt crisis: as it happened, January 30, 2011

        French president Nicolas Sarkozy says the Czech PM won't sign up to the financial stability treaty, already vetoed by Britain, and that a deal on Greece's debt could be agreed in 'days'.
        30 Jan 2012
        | 922 Comments

        Eurozone leaders sign up to budget pact, with Greek deal "days" away

        European leaders agreed on a permanent rescue fund for the eurozone, and 25 out of 27 EU states backed a fiscal pact for stricter budget discipline in the eurozone, while a deal on Greek debt is expected in "days".
        30 Jan 2012
        | 51 Comments

        Is the West finished? Perhaps not quite

        For me, the defining image from Davos this year was the sight of Christine Lagarde, managing director of the International Monetary Fund, holding up an expensive-looking, designer leather holdall and saying: "I am here with my little bag to collect a bit of money."
        30 Jan 2012
        | 5 Comments

        Cameron accused of 'appeasing' Nick Clegg over EU veto as Conservative MPs start to plot

        David Cameron was accused of “appeasing” his deputy Nick Clegg by performing an about-turn on Britain’s veto against closer ties among eurozone countries tonight.
        30 Jan 2012
        | 3 Comments

        Cameron: 'We need to get serious about Europe growth agenda'

        The Prime Minister calls for action to sort out struggling European economies at a meeting in Brussels.
        30 Jan 2012
        | 26 Comments

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