Monday, September 21, 2015

@11:25, 9/21/15

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1
N.Y. / Region

2 Colgate University Students Killed in Plane Crash

The students, from Ridgefield, Conn., died when their single-engine Cessna crashed in a field in upstate New York.

We will be told more.

2
Sports

Murrays Give Britain a Lead

The brothers Andy and Jamie Murray led Britain to a hard-fought victory in Glasgow over Lleyton Hewitt and Sam Groth of Australia on Saturday for a 2-1 lead in their Davis Cup semifinal.

http://nytimes.stats.com/mlb/scoreboard.asp

7:10 PM ET  SUN/NESN 
Tampa Bay (72-77, 35-36 Road)
Boston (71-77, 39-35 Home)

 TB: C. Archer  (12-12, 2.95 ERA)
 Bos: E. Rodriguez  (9-6, 3.94 ERA)
Preview


3
U.S.

Washington: School Begins in Seattle

Thousands of Seattle students started the school year Thursday after it was delayed by a weeklong teachers strike.

The strike was worth the effort.

4
Science

9 Years of Muck, Mud and Debate in Java

New evidence suggests a damaging, continuing mud volcano was started by drilling. But many researchers still blame an earthquake.

I favor a natural event.  The gas well was a wildcat venture that failed.
Far more mud has come out of the volcano than ever went down the well.

5
Science

As Fires Grow, a New Landscape Appears in the West

Governments’ interference in the natural cycle of fires, along with climate change, has created more brush on forest floors and hotter, drier seasons.

Measures short of panic are appropriate.
Controlled burns can wait for wetter weather and favorable winds.

I am not going to worry bout the carbon balance when we do not have a carbon tax.

Let us start with the easy things.


Travel

Stretching Dollars, and, Yes, Feasting, in Lower-Priced Rio

For visiting Americans, due to Brazil’s struggling currency, Rio is a very different place from what it was last year.

I am not fond of the tropics.

7
N.Y. / Region

New York City to Add Housing for Domestic Violence Victims

The city wants to provide emergency shelter for as many as 13,300 adults and children, up from the 8,880 served now by city-funded programs.

1,500 apartments should not be difficult.

8
Opinion

Turn the Ferguson Moment Into Lasting Change

A commission’s worthy recommendations will need strong support lest they slip into the sorry archive of might-have-beens.

A positive change would be a good result.

9
Travel

Air and Rail Travel News: Remodeled Planes at British Airways

What you need to know if you’re on a trip or planning one soon, including new streetcar service in San Francisco and higher taxi fares at Kennedy Airport.

San Francisco should try streetcars.

10
Science

A Green Sea Turtle Refuge Is Getting Full

A threatened species is starting to grow again, helped by a record year at the Archie Carr National Wildlife Refuge in Florida.

It may be time to attempt to propagate the nesting areas.

11
Sports

Sebastian Vettel Dominates in Singapore Grand Prix Despite Track Distractions

Ferrari’s Vettel won on Sunday while Lewis Hamilton had to retire as the Formula One title race took a twist.

Mechanical problems are always interesting.  This report did not spend much time on them.

12
Sports

Lithuania Advances to European Final

Lithuania beat Serbia, 67-64, on Friday in Lille, France, to advance to the final of the European basketball championship and clinch a slot at next year’s Olympics in Rio de Janeiro.

http://nytimes.stats.com/wnba/scoreboard.asp

WNBA Scoreboard
Previous Day | Monday, September 21 | Next Day

7:40 4th Qtr 1 2 3 4 Tot
 Indiana Fever 28 24 19 7 78 
 Chicago Sky 28 19 16 4 67 
Preview 

13
The Upshot

Why Yellen Blinked on Interest Rates

The decision to hold off suggests the Fed wants a little more evidence that the economy is truly on the mend.

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2015/09/21/milton-money-and-interest-rates/

Milton, Money, and Interest Rates

Photo
Credit

"Still mulling over the political economy of permahawkery; and, unusually, I have a moderate disagreement with Brad DeLong. Brad has been arguing that demands for tight money are, in fact, contrary to the bankers’ own interests:
It was Milton Friedman who insisted, over and over again, that in any but the shortest of runs high nominal interest rates were not a sign that money was tight–that the central bank had pushed the market interest rate above the Wicksellian natural rate–but rather that money had been and probably was still loose, and that market expectations had adjusted to that.
Friedman did in fact make that claim. But if “the shortest of short runs” means weeks or months, he was wrong.
Consider the Volcker disinflation. The Fed clearly announced its intention to reduce inflation, and temporarily changed its operating procedure by switching to money supply targeting; in short, it did everything one might imagine to make it clear that there was a regime shift that would lead to disinflation. As I and others have pointed out, the fact that this policy change nonetheless led to a severe recession is conclusive evidence against both the Lucas notion that only unanticipated monetary policy has real effects, and the Prescott view that business cycles reflect real shocks.
But the episode also undermines the Friedman claim on interest rates. Yes, short rates ended up lower than before once the disinflation was complete. But they were sharply elevated for three years — and while you might have expected long rates to fall due to reduced expectations of inflation, in fact they rose along with short rates and stayed high for several years.
So put yourself in the (very expensive) shoes of a bank CEO today, who is assured that the Fed’s hold on interest rates now will help avoid deflation and assure higher interest rates and hence higher bank profits in the long run. Even if you understand the macroeconomics and know the history (which you probably don’t), this is a story about a better bottom line four or five years down the pike, by which time you will have foregone a lot of bonuses and may well be retired.
As I see it, interest-rate hawkery on the part of bankers isn’t irrational, just evil."

14
U.S.

Alabama Church Shooting Wounds Infant and 2 Adults

The police said they had arrested a suspect, the father of the wounded infant. The child’s mother and the church’s pastor were also wounded.

Perhaps we could suppress the manufacture of hand guns.

15
U.S.

Judge’s Ruling Awards $600,000 to Exploited Workers

More than two dozen men with intellectual disability who worked decades for little pay in a turkey-processing plant will share the money.

This is a trivial amount.  It does not improve the lives of these workers
or give them their share of their productivity.

16
Arts

Staten Island Museum Is Reopening in Snug Harbor Complex

Moving to a cultural hub and a vastly expanded space, the museum hopes to transcend its “outpost” identity and let its eclectic collection breathe.

Realestate development continues.

 
17 
Opinion

Europe’s Dangerous Ambivalence

It’s election time again in Greece, where the continuing economic crisis and the influx of refugees reflect the same fundamental structural paradox.

The migrants have provided cover for the second or third victory of Syriza.
Perhaps Greece can get the debt relief it must have.
If it means leaving the Euro, so be it.


18
Opinion

The Refugee Crisis Has Produced One Winner: Organized Crime

Smuggling people is now as profitable, if not more so, than the trade in illegal narcotics.

The H.C.R. and the E.U. could go into competition with the smugglers.
Boat passage and rail fares would be cheaper than fenced and guarded borders.

19
World

Video: Pope Francis Arrives in Havana

The pope is on a nine-day tour that will include visits to U.S. cities.

The Pope is sovereign.
He may go where he wishes.

20
Sports

Jason Day Holds on to Win, and Grabs Top Ranking

Protecting a four-shot lead in Sunday’s final round of the BMW Championship, Day had set his sights on overtaking Rory McIlroy as the top-ranked player in the world golf rankings.

Golf.

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