Saturday, August 30, 2014

@10:10, 8/30/14

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1
World

Video: Inside U.S. Hostage Policy

A look at some very rare exceptions in the United States’s otherwise strict policy of never negotiating with hostage-takers.
Terrorism; Kidnapping and Hostages; Prisoners of War 

2
World

Central America Hit by Severe Drought

A severe drought has ravaged crops in Central America, and as many as 2.8 million people are struggling to feed themselves, the United Nations World Food Program said Friday.
Drought; Agriculture and Farming 

Next years refugees.

3
U.S.

McConnell’s Campaign Manager Steps Down

The manager, Jesse Benton, cited reports about his “role in past campaigns,” referring to his job as a senior official in Ron Paul’s 2012 presidential campaign, which paid an Iowa state senator to switch his support.
Elections, State Legislature; Campaign Finance; Bribery and Kickbacks 

Money buys attention.
All attention is not desired.

4
Opinion

End the Tyranny of 24/7 Email

Limiting work-related messaging during off-hours is both humane and efficient.
E-Mail; Working Hours; Labor and Jobs; Productivity; Workplace Environment 

You are leading.

5
World

U.S. Identifies Citizens Joining Rebels in Syria, Including ISIS

Nearly a dozen Americans are known to have traveled to Syria to fight for the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria, the militant group that the Obama administration says poses the greatest threat to the United States since Al Qaeda before the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks.
Surveillance of Citizens by Government; Terrorism; Muslims and Islam 

Volunteers.

6
Opinion

Timothy Wu for Lieutenant Governor

The Times recommends Mr. Wu in the Democratic primary because he can bring fresh ideas to Albany’s stale and often corrupt political culture.
Endorsements; Editorials; Midterm Elections (2014); Elections, Governors; Net Neutrality 

I will vote for the radicals in the primary.
I expect to vote for the Democratic candidate in the general election.

7
Business Day

With $38 Million Ferrari, Classic Car Market Revs Up

Some classic cars, including a 1962 Ferrari 250 GTO Berlinetta, are setting records at auctions, prompting some to ask if they are the next great asset class.
Antique and Classic Cars; Prices (Fares, Fees and Rates); Collectors and Collections; Auctions 

These cars qualify as sculpture.
A pretty car is not necessarily a good vehicle.
A good vehicle is much more valuable to me these days.
I can make art.

8
Business Day

Divisions Grow as a Downturn Rocks Europe

Leaders are battling a raft of problems, including deflation and unemployment, and many are increasingly taking issue with Germany’s austerity mantra.
European Sovereign Debt Crisis (2010- ); Recession and Depression; Deflation (Economics); Unemployment 

I would not call what recovery we have a rebound.

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2014/08/30/day-of-imfamy-2/

Day of IMFamy


Two pieces I did for the IMF are online. First, my Mundell-Fleming lecture, on the possibility or lack thereof of Greek-style crises in countries that borrow in their own currencies. Second, a set of brief notes from various recipients of the Swedish thingie.
Conclusion of the M-F lecture:
[C]laims about the vulnerability of floating-rate debtors to crisis haven’t been given any specificity because they do not, in fact, make sense. Simple macroeconomic models suggest that a loss of confidence in a country like the United States, taking place at a time when interest rates are at the zero lower bound, should, if anything, have an expansionary effect. Nor can one appeal to the lessons of history: cases resembling the hypothesized crisis scenario are rare, and those that exist don’t support the notion that Greek-style crises can take place under a very different currency regime.
You may find it implausible that conventional wisdom, backed by so many influential people, could be wrong on so basic a point. But it’s not the first time that has happened, and it surely won’t be the last.
 You have seen this before.

9
Business Day

New Novartis Drug Shows Striking Efficacy in Treating Heart Failure

The experimental drug developed by the Swiss company Novartis reduced the risk of dying from cardiovascular causes and could replace what has been the bedrock treatment for more than 20 years, researchers said.
Drugs (Pharmaceuticals); Heart; Clinical Trials; Beta Blockers; Blood Pressure 

I bought part B.

I will be treated as recommended when recommended.

"Assisted Living" does better than nursing homes if there are the resources to pay for  it.  The residents are not assumed to be completely incompetent.

10
Business Day

Businesses Are Winning Cat-and-Mouse Tax Game

Corporations are finding ways to legally avoid paying federal taxes, causing business income tax revenue to be stagnant.
Corporate Taxes; Real Estate Investment Trusts; Tax Shelters; United States Politics and Government 

Congress has refused to modify the tax code.
It is easy to win against an anesthetized competitor. 

11
Health

Ask Well: The Problem with Bunions

Non-surgical treatments can reduce the pain or discomfort from a bunion and keep it from worsening.
Feet; Pain; Shoes and Boots; Surgery and Surgeons 

“If they’re a seven, eight, nine then we’d talk about surgical treatment,” Dr. Ioli said. “If it’s a three or four we say try conservative treatment for six months or a year.”

I will live with your decision on bunions.

12
Opinion

A Child’s Visit to the Gun Range

Where was common sense when a lethal battlefield weapon ended up in the hands of a 9-year-old and accidentally killed the instructor?
Gun Control; Accidents and Safety; Editorials; Children and Childhood; Deaths (Fatalities) 

This was a self correcting error.
The girl is traumatized.
The incompetent instructor is dead.
The faith of the N.R.A. is unshakable.

13
Opinion

Is Everyone a Little Bit Racist?

Recent events in Ferguson, Mo., have America talking about race. The conversation should include our unconscious attitudes that result in discriminatory policies and behavior.
Discrimination; Race and Ethnicity; Blacks; Minorities; Research; Psychology and Psychologists; Police Brutality, Misconduct and Shootings 

Yes to Kristof.

The independent forensic report showed Sadism on the part of the shooter. 
Ferguson Mo. has a different problem.

14
Fashion & Style

Ferguson Reveals a Twitter Loop

Twitter ensured that the events in Ferguson, Mo., led to a debate about police violence and race in America. But it was also responsible for creating and perpetuating numerous falsehoods.
Demonstrations, Protests and Riots; Police Brutality, Misconduct and Shootings; Social Media; News and News Media 

Stop looking at the riot and read the reports.

15
U.S.

Public Integrity Without Smell of Politics

Gov. Rick Perry’s indictment on charges that he abused his official powers has reignited the perennial argument over who monitors the periodic criminal behavior of politicians and bureaucrats in Texas.
Ethics and Official Misconduct; Governors (US) 

We have two political parties and a federal bench for these problems.

16
Opinion

Fighting Credit Card Fraud

The chief executive of the Electronic Transactions Association discusses efforts to thwart cyber thieves.
Identity Theft; Credit Cards; Shopping and Retail; Frauds and Swindling; E-Commerce 

Yes

17
Science

Leadership and Calm Are Urged in Ebola Outbreak

Leadership and help from Western nations are needed to eradicate the virus in West Africa, according to some of the top experts in disease eradication.
Ebola Virus; Epidemics 

http://www.who.int/csr/don/2014_08_28_ebola/en/

"Ebola virus disease update - west Africa

Disease outbreak news
28 August 2014

Epidemiology and surveillance

  • The total number of probable and confirmed cases in the current outbreak of Ebola virus disease (EVD) in the four affected countries as reported by the respective Ministries of Health of Guinea, Liberia, Nigeria, and Sierra Leone is 3069, with 1552 deaths.
  • The outbreak continues to accelerate. More than 40% of the total number of cases have occurred within the past 21 days. However, most cases are concentrated in only a few localities.
  • The overall case fatality rate is 52%. It ranges from 42% in Sierra Leone to 66% in Guinea.
  • A separate outbreak of Ebola virus disease, which is not related to the outbreak in West Africa, was laboratory-confirmed on 26 August by the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and is detailed in a separate edition of the Disease Outbreak News.

Health sector response

A full understanding of the outbreak that will lead to improved response requires detailed analysis of exactly where transmission is occurring (by district level) and of time trends. This analysis is ongoing. Preliminary results show that cases are still concentrated (62% of all reported cases since the beginning of the outbreak) in the epicentre of the outbreak in Gueckedou (Guinea); Lofa (Liberia), where cases continue to rise; and Kenema and Kailahun (Sierra Leone). Capital cities are of particular concern, owing to their population density and repercussions for travel and trade.
WHO and its partners are on the ground establishing Ebola treatment centres and strengthening capacity for laboratory testing, contact tracing, social mobilization, safe burials, and non-Ebola health care.
WHO continues to monitor for reports of rumoured or suspected cases from countries around the world and systematic verification of these cases is ongoing. Countries are encouraged to continue engaging in active surveillance and preparedness activities. Cases of EVD have been reported from the Democratic Republic of Congo. The cases in DRC are not related to the outbreak in West Africa. Outside of the four affected countries in West Africa and DRC, no new cases have been confirmed in other countries.
WHO does not recommend any travel or trade restrictions be applied except in cases where individuals have been confirmed or are suspected of being infected with EVD or where individuals have had contact with cases of EVD. (Contacts do not include properly-protected health-care workers and laboratory staff.) Temporary recommendations from the Emergency Committee with regard to actions to be taken by countries can be found at:

Disease update

As of 26 August 2014, the cumulative number of cases attributed to EVD in the four countries stands at 3069, including 1552 deaths. The distribution and classification of the cases are as follows: Guinea, 647 cases (482 confirmed, 141 probable, and 25 suspected), including 430 deaths; Liberia, 1378 cases (322 confirmed, 674 probable, and 382 suspected), including 694 deaths; Nigeria, 17 cases (13 confirmed, 1 probable, and 3 suspected), including 6 deaths; and Sierra Leone, 1026 cases (935 confirmed, 37 probable, and 54 suspected), including 422 deaths.

Confirmed, probable, and suspect cases and deaths from Ebola virus disease in Guinea, Liberia, Nigeria, and Sierra Leone



Confirmed Probable Suspect Totals
Guinea



Cases 482 141 25 648
Deaths 287 141 2 430
Liberia



Cases 322 674 382 1 378
Deaths 225 301 168 694
Nigeria



Cases 13 1 3 17
Deaths 5 1 0 6
Sierra Leone



Cases 935 37 54 1 026
Deaths 380 34 8 422
Totals



Cases 1 752 853 464 3 069
Deaths 897 477 178 1 552
Note: Cases are classified as confirmed (any suspected or probable cases with a positive laboratory result); probable (any suspected case evaluated by a clinician, or any deceased suspected case having an epidemiological link with a confirmed case where it has not been possible to collect specimens for laboratory confirmation); or suspected (any person, alive or dead, suffering or having suffered from sudden onset of high fever and having had contact with: a suspected, probable or confirmed Ebola case, or a dead or sick animal; or any person with sudden onset of high fever and at least three of the following symptoms: headache, vomiting, anorexia/loss of appetite, diarrhoea, lethargy, stomach pain, aching muscles or joints, difficulty swallowing, breathing difficulties, or hiccup; or any person with unexplained bleeding; or any sudden, unexplained death).
The total number of cases is subject to change due to ongoing reclassification, retrospective investigation, and availability of laboratory results. Data reported in the Disease Outbreak News are based on official information reported by Ministries of Health." 

I would like to see the death rate in cases thirty days old.  Adding recent diagnoses to the denominator will give a falsely hopeful number for the death rate. 
 
For 8/6 1711 were reported as sick.  1552/1711= .90707
A 91% death rate.  In22days.
 
18
N.Y. / Region

Never Rich Enough

Helicopter traffic at the East Hampton airport this summer has increased by close to 40 percent over last and with it has come a comparable rise in tension between the very affluent and the exceptionally rich.
Income; Helicopters 

I agree that the .01% are unbearable.
The world would be better without them.
Fewer fun things would get done.
I would miss that but would survive. 

19
World

Yemen: U.N. Body Condemns Instability

The United Nations Security Council on Friday called on Yemen’s Shiite Muslim Houthis to end hostilities against the government and warned foreign countries not to interfere by encouraging instability in Yemen.
Middle East and North Africa Unrest (2010- ) 

These are internal matters until proven otherwise.

20
U.S.

California Power Substation Attacked in 2013 Is Struck Again

The substation, which is near San Jose and provides energy to thousands, was hit by thieves early Wednesday, despite increased security, the Pacific Gas and Electric Company said.
Security and Warning Systems; Robberies and Thefts; Electric Light and Power 

Just theft this time.

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