1
U.S.
Chris Christie Endorses Donald Trump and Calls Marco Rubio ‘Desperate’
The endorsement from Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey, who bowed out of the presidential race on Feb. 10 after a disappointing sixth-place finish in New Hampshire, comes a day after Donald J. Trump came under withering attacks from his rivals at the latest Republican debate.Business Day
Melissa Harris-Perry Walks Off Her MSNBC Show After Pre-emptions
She said that her show had effectively been taken away from her and that she felt “worthless” in the eyes of NBC News executives.Opinion
The Governing Cancer of Our Time
Donald Trump’s candidacy is the culmination of 30 years of antipolitics.World
She Was Asked to Switch Seats. Now She’s Charging El Al With Sexism.
A lawsuit claims that an airline discriminated against Renee Rabinowitz by moving her seat after an ultra-Orthodox man said he did not want to sit next to a woman.The Upshot
The Cold Hard Math of How Trump Can Win, and How Rubio Can Stop Him
An interactive delegate calculator simulates how the G.O.P. nomination race might unfold.
"The
two strategists, who declined to comment, proposed to attack Mr. Trump
in New Hampshire over his business failures and past liberal positions,
and emphasized the extreme urgency of their project. A Trump nomination
would not only cause Republicans to lose the presidency, they wrote,
“but we also lose the Senate, competitive gubernatorial elections and
moderate House Republicans.”
No major donors committed to the project, and it was abandoned. No other sustained Stop Trump effort sprang up in its place.
Resistance
to Mr. Trump still runs deep. The party’s biggest benefactors remain
totally opposed to him. At a recent presentation hosted by the
billionaires Charles G. and David H. Koch, the country’s most prolific
conservative donors, their political advisers characterized Mr. Trump’s
record as utterly unacceptable, and highlighted his support for
government-funded business subsidies and government-backed health care,
according to people who attended.
But the Kochs, like Mr. Adelson, have shown no appetite to intervene directly in the primary with decisive force."
6
U.S.
Inside the Republican Party’s Desperate Mission to Stop Donald Trump
Despite all the forces arrayed against Mr. Trump, a paralytic sense of indecision and despair has prevailed.
When Nate Silver is good, he’s very good. This “swingometer”
from FiveThirtyEight is exactly what we all need to make sense of
Democratic primary results. Oh, and hold the Hillary-hatred and all
that, OK? Whoever you support, this is a great tool for tracking your
favorite’s progress or lack thereof.
What Silvers et al
have done is to quantify something we all know: demography matters a lot
in this race, with very white states better terrain for Sanders and
very African-American states better for Clinton. They use available
information to produce a benchmark for each state — the Clinton-Sanders
vote margin we would expect if the candidates were, in fact, tied at a
national level (which would probably mean a Clinton nomination thanks to
superdelegates, but that’s not a road anyone really wants to go down.)
You can then compare actual outcomes with that benchmark as an
indicator.
What they find is that
in all three contests so far — yes, including New Hampshire — Clinton
has done better, and Sanders worse, than the 50-50 case would predict.
In fact, Nevada was Sanders’s best showing by this metric, although I
suspect making too much of that would be pushing the methodology too
hard. So at least so far, we’re looking at a steady march toward a
Clinton nomination, although by no means a blowout.
That is, of course,
not at all what you’d think from media coverage, which flipped from
Clinton doom after NH to Sanders collapse after NV. The prediction
markets, on the other hand, have been pretty cool and rational:
There has been a
gradual drift toward Clinton in these numbers, but that actually makes
sense simply because each successive Clinton-better-than-the-spread
increases certainty that she really is in front.
What you should be
watching for Saturday, then, is not whether Clinton wins SC — she almost
certainly will — but whether her margin is more than 20 percent, the
538 benchmark. The same for Super Tuesday, although at that point we’ll
start talking about enough delegates that actual convention math starts
to become an issue.
Now, if I could have
everything I wanted, I would wish that the 538 team would supplement its
probabilities of who will win a state — which is pretty much
meaningless in the Democratic party, where there isn’t winner take all
and states differ so much — and in addition gave us the probability that
the Clinton or Sanders benchmark would be exceeded. As I read it, those
probabilities must be reasonably high for SC, but nothing like the 99+
percent probability of a Clinton win.
Anyway, a great tool for cutting through the regular nonsense."
Magazine
What Google Learned From Its Quest to Build the Perfect Team
New research reveals surprising truths about why some work groups thrive and others falter.U.S.
The Faces of American Power, Nearly as White as the Oscar Nominees
An all-white group of Oscar-nominated actors set off protests, but the most powerful Americans in business, culture and politics are overwhelmingly white.America is a democracy.
10
U.S.
To Fight Critics, Donald Trump Aims to Instill Fear in 140-Character Doses
As mainstream Republicans try to stop Mr. Trump’s rise, the specter of being bullied by him is discouraging others from joining the fight.Opinion
Donald Trump and Chris Christie Start a Bully Bromance
Chris Christie’s endorsement of Donald Trump feeds the New Jersey governor’s twin desires: for national recognition and political revenge.Opinion
Twilight of the Apparatchiks
The Republican establishment’s “wingnut welfare” made Trump possible.U.S.
Scalia Took Dozens of Trips Funded by Private Sponsors
Some argue that the trips could create the appearance of a conflict of interest, particularly when the sponsors are known for their political views.U.S.
Unclassified Clinton Emails May Have Consequences for a Key Deputy
Much of the correspondence American diplomats had with Hillary Clinton when she was secretary of state went through an aide who routinely sent emails to her that should have been secret.Opinion
Trump Meets the Mean Boys
The key to a successful debate: Avoid discussions of actual policy and concentrate on inflicting death by insult.U.S.
In Republican Debate, a Feisty Marco Rubio Lays Into Donald Trump
Senator Marco Rubio, alarmed by Donald Trump’s ascendancy and worried that his presidential chances were slipping away, delivered the onslaught that Republican leaders had desperately awaited.U.S.
San Francisco Wants Homeless to Leave Tent Camp, but Some Vow to Fight
The city, which has sought gentler methods to deal with homelessness, is struggling for answers to what many describe as a worsening problem.Opinion
Five Big Questions After a G.O.P. Debate That Targeted Trump
Here’s what the Republican candidates accomplished and risked in their latest showdown.U.S.
The Alliance of Chris Christie and Donald Trump: What Each Side Gets
Every political marriage involves a bit of calculation, and in the case of the Christie-Trump endorsement, both men have much to gain.Business Day
No comments:
Post a Comment