Sunday, November 4, 2012

11/3/12

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I have no electric power and no dial tone.  The cell tower seems to have been fixed.



Opinion

On Hurricanes, Presidents, Climate and One Clear Human Factor in the Sandy Disaster

As Mayor Bloomberg stresses climate change in endorsing President Obama, a fresh look at realistic approaches to curbing climate risks on a crowding, hazardous planet.
Air Pollution; Disasters and Emergencies; Global Warming; Greenhouse Gas Emissions; Hurricane Sandy (2012); Politics and Government; 

Yes.

2
U.S.

‘Ex-Gay’ Men Fight Back Against View That Homosexuality Can’t Be Changed

Thousands of men believe they have changed their most basic sexual desires through therapy and prayer, something most scientists say has never been proved possible.
Homosexuality; Therapy and Rehabilitation; Psychology and Psychologists;

I am in agreement with genetic homosexuality.  
There may be a group trained to homosexuality. 
That group is not large. 
Any training can be changed.
The cited examples show that heterosexual attitudes can be trained into people.
The genetics are not training.  
Even the most successful ex-gays need constant help.

We know people can love more than one condition.  
 
3
Business Day

A Keynesian Blind Spot

Government programs that ameliorate hardship also give people an incentive not to work, and Keynesians seem unable to acknowledge that, an economist writes.
Economics (Theory and Philosophy); Recession and Depression; United States Economy; 

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/03/soup-kitchens-caused-the-great-depression/

4
Opinion

Two Candidates, One Foreign Policy

The U.S. presidential debate on foreign policy displayed a remarkable consensus on what to do (or not do) in the world beyond American shores.
Presidential Election of 2012; Debates (Political); 

There are limited options. There is no victory or prize in the fight.
5
N.Y. / Region

Long Lines Plague Commuters as a Transit System Slowly Recuperates

Drivers piled up behind bridge checkpoints, and riders waited for shuttle buses, sometimes for hours, on the way into Manhattan.
Transit Systems; Hurricane Sandy (2012); Automobiles; Bridges and Tunnels; Roads and Traffic; 

When the power comes back on most of the traffic will ease.

The Army Corpse was called in promptly. 
6
Opinion

Ideology Over Reality

Senate Republicans seem to have pressured the Congressional Research Service to withdraw a report debunking conservative economic orthodoxy.
Income Inequality; Taxation; 

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/03/the-ultimate-zombie-idea/

"November 3, 2012, 9:34 am

The Ultimate Zombie Idea

Zombie ideas — a phrase I originally saw in the context of myths about Canadian health care — are policy ideas that keep being killed by evidence, but nonetheless shamble relentlessly forward, essentially because they suit a political agenda.
The controversy over the withdrawal by the Congressional Research Service of a report showing no connection between tax cuts for the rich and economic growth is a reminder that in U.S. politics, at least, the tax cuts/growth notion is the ultimate zombie idea.
I mean, when the CRS report first came out I didn’t write about it because it was basically old news (which is not to criticize the report, which did a fine job of putting the evidence together). Nobody has ever been able to find clear evidence of a link between high-end tax cuts and growth. The raw fact, after all, is that the US economy did better in the first half of the post World War II era, with high top marginal rates, than it did in the second half: growth was both somewhat slower and much more unequal in the years after Reagan’s 1981 cut than before.
And the tax-cut faithful have delivered one forecasting debacle after another. I’m old enough to remember not just the predictions that the Bush tax cuts would unleash a huge economic boom, but the claims that Clinton’s 1993 tax hike would cause a deep depression.
Yet the tax-cut dogma remains politically intact, and it is at the core of Romney’s alleged plan for recovery.
There is, of course, no mystery here: just ask who benefits from the dogma that ever-lower taxes on the wealthy are just what we need, and you understand why there is always plenty of money for both economists and politicians who promote the dogma.
But it’s kind of sad to realize that our public discourse is so obviously, nakedly corrupt."

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/03/soup-kitchens-caused-the-great-depression/

"November 3, 2012, 9:44 am

Soup Kitchens Caused the Great Depression

Some readers have been asking me to reply to Casey Mulligan’s latest attack on my recent book. Um, no. Life is short, and if I spent my time responding to every attack on yours truly — or indeed, every thing Mulligan himself writes that I consider foolish — I would have no time to do anything else. So let me just outsource this to John Quiggin.
Now, Quiggin’s post takes on both Mulligan’s specifics and the broader claim that increased use of the social safety net is a cause rather than a result of the depressed economy. As one of his commenters points out, this amounts to the claim that soup kitchens caused the Great Depression. Quiggin does an admirable job of refuting this claim. I would, however, add one more point. If you really believe that the problem is that excessive generosity to the downtrodden is reducing the incentive to work, so that what we really have is a supply problem rather than a demand problem, you should expect to see upward pressure on wages. What we actually see:
Oh, and feel the hyperinflation."

7
World

Britain: Austerity May Force Move of London Police

London’s police force says it may move from its headquarters at New Scotland Yard to a smaller building.
Relocation of Business; Police; 

The Tory government will fall first.

8
World

Germany Discusses National Energy Plan

As energy prices rise and Chancellor Angela Merkel faces criticism, the country is working toward a unified effort to increase its reliance on renewable resources.
Alternative and Renewable Energy; Energy and Power; 

Germany has suffered the depredations of "General Winter" before.
The soldiers on the eastern front often froze in summer uniforms.
The sudden end of nuclear power is popular but disastrous.

9
Business Day

Some Businesses Choose Not to Grow

Those owners who do want to grow have to develop the ability to create capital for growth. They also have to learn tools and techniques for running a larger company. It's not for everyone.
Executives and Management (Theory); Small Business; Start-ups; 

A small business must have customers in order to grow.
A craft based business must have customers and producers.  Often a crafts person should raise prices to control demand .

10
U.S.

Super PACs Provide Last-Minute Rush of Campaign Spending

New “super PACs” have sprung up in the last days of the race, buying up advertising and exploiting a loophole that keeps their donors anonymous until long after votes are counted.
Political Advertising; Political Action Committees; Presidential Election of 2012; 

On 538 look at all of the page.  Pay attention to the state by state probabilities.
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
http://core.talkingpointsmemo.com/election/scoreboard

11
U.S.

In Shift, Romney Campaign Approaches Pennsylvania With a New Urgency

Mitt Romney’s campaign and his supporters are investing millions of dollars in ads in a last-minute effort to sway voters in certain key demographics.
Presidential Election of 2012; Political Advertising; Political Action Committees; 

It is very late for more money to change things.

12
U.S.

In Swing States, Obama Leads on Handling of Medicare

In recent polls, President Obama continues to lead Mitt Romney on the question of who would better handle Medicare in the crucial swing states of Florida, Virginia and Ohio.
Medicare; Polls and Public Opinion; Presidential Election of 2012; 

"Follow the money."

13
Health

Life, Interrupted: Hurricanes and Cancer

For cancer patients like me, and for others who suffer from chronic or life-threatening illnesses, natural disasters don't put health on the back burner. In fact, disasters like this one only add another layer of concern.
Cancer; Chemotherapy; Disasters and Emergencies; Hospitals; Hurricane Sandy (2012); 

The hospitals must be managed as emergency shelters.  
They are licensed and regulated and receive public support in many cases. 


14
Opinion

Who Should You Vote For?

A brief guide for the undecided.
New Deal (1930's); Philosophy; Presidential Election of 2012; United States Politics and Government;

Gary Gutting really does not want to say Obama is the only possible candidate.
He may be further right than I like but he must be elected if we are to escape plutocracy.

15
World

Citing Violence, Bahrain Bans All Protests in New Crackdown

The government said that opposition activists had abused its tolerance for freedom of expression by allowing protests to turn violent.
Middle East and North Africa Unrest (2010- ); Freedom of Speech and Expression; 

This is bad politics.

16
Health

Easing the Trauma After the Storm

Survivors of disasters like Hurricane Sandy frequently suffer post-traumatic stress symptoms like recurrent nightmares, flashbacks and a hair-trigger temper, but research has also revealed that we can mitigate the psychological fallout.
Fear (Emotion); Hurricane Katrina (2005); Hurricane Sandy (2012); Mental Health and Disorders; Psychology and Psychologists; Restoration and Renovation; Tornadoes; Weather; 

 "For now, experts are predicting that the psychological fallout from Hurricane Sandy will be less severe than that from Hurricane Katrina. But their optimistic predictions rest in part on the response thus far of government officials and the larger community."

NOLA suffered from a death wish at the city level.  It is hard to dream new dreams when they are forbidden.  The Slave culture refugees from Haiti went to New Orleans.

17
Opinion

Post-storm Links

What we're reading as we dry out from Hurricane Sandy.
Alzheimer's Disease; Hurricane Sandy (2012); Labor and Jobs; Minimum Wage; Referendums; Soft Drinks;

I have not been a smoker since 1976.  I regret that it took me that long to get wise.

18
World

Arab Women Turn to Crafts as a Source of Employment

A growing number of Jordanian women are, for a few hours each day, escaping from family and social constraints into gainful, home-based activities.
Women and Girls; Entrepreneurship; Computers and the Internet; Nonprofit Organizations; 

I read this.
“I really want to believe that people will realize that this is part of our tradition and that women have talents and have always worked,” she said. “They can contribute a lot to society.”  Agreed.

19
N.Y. / Region

At Bellevue, a Desperate Fight to Ensure the Patients’ Safety

In the wake of Hurricane Sandy, health care workers and patients were confronted by a new kind of disarray.
Hurricane Sandy (2012); Hospitals; Evacuations and Evacuees; 

Bellevue is a great public hospital.  City Hall has not been paying the bills generously. 
They are downright skint.

20
Health

Part D, Part 2

Why don't more Medicare beneficiaries pick the right drug plans? Complexity, experts say -- and here's a small example.
Elder Care; Medicare; 

Part D.  is not a benefit but a profit center for the insurance companies.







































































































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