1
Acosta Defends His Role in Brokering Jeffrey Epstein Plea Deal
Katie Rogers, Maggie Haberman and Peter Baker at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 48 minutes ago
R. Alexander Acosta, the labor secretary, rebuffed calls for his
resignation by Democrats, who criticized his decision as a prosecutor in
2008 to accept a lenient sentence for Mr. Epstein.
There is no possible defense.
2
Pelosi Appeals for Democratic Unity While Dressing Down Dissenters
Julie Hirschfeld Davis at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 48 minutes ago
The speaker, at an extraordinary, closed-door meeting of the House
Democratic Caucus, tried to restore comity amid a dispute with four liberal
freshmen and demanded an end to the public criticism.
The Democrats need a united front in the general election.
The next step is primary contests.
Let us not give the Republicans hope.
3
China and U.S. Differ Over Agricultural Purchases Trump Boasted About
Ana Swanson and Keith Bradsher at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 48 minutes ago
The disparity over the large-scale purchases has raised questions about
whether the United States offered up too much in order to de-escalate the
trade war.
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/07/04/opinion/trump-trade-wars.html
4
Simple Decision Making
Ian Welsh at Ian Welsh - 1 hour ago
The simplest decision making loop is “only do things you like.” Sometimes
getting something we want (presumably something which will let us do things
we like) we must do something we dislike, or wouldn’t otherwise do. So the
next decision is “is what I get from doing something I don’t like worth
doing this thing […]
Naked but near enough true.
5
Naked but near enough true.
5
FOMC Minutes: "the case for somewhat more accommodative policy had strengthened"
Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 2 hours ago
From the Fed: Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, June 18-19, 2019.
A few excerpts:
In their discussion of monetary policy decisions at this meeting,
participants noted that, under their baseline outlook, the labor market was
likely to remain strong with economic activity growing at a moderate pace.
However, *they judged that the risks and uncertainties surrounding their
outlooks, particularly those related to the global economic outlook, had
intensified in recent weeks*. Moreover, inflation continued to run below
the Committee's 2 percent objective; similarly, inflation ... more »
The Fed will cut to keep the bubble expanding.
6
The Fed will cut to keep the bubble expanding.
6
‘It Could Have Been Any of Us’: Disdain for Trump Runs Among Ambassadors
David E. Sanger at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 3 hours ago
Sir Kim Darroch, the British ambassador who resigned Wednesday, was not
alone in his criticism of the Trump administration and its habit of leaving
foreign envoys in the dark.
No surprise.
The question is who made the leak.
I like the NSA as the leaker.
The FSB is in second place.
7
No surprise.
The question is who made the leak.
I like the NSA as the leaker.
The FSB is in second place.
7
Acosta Defends Role in Brokering Epstein Plea Deal
Katie Rogers, Maggie Haberman and Peter Baker at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 3 hours ago
R. Alexander Acosta, the labor secretary, rebuffed resignation calls by
Democrats, who criticized his decision as a prosecutor in 2008 to accept a
lenient sentence for Jeffrey Epstein.
"Rank has its priveleges"
Rank is in his mind.
8
"Rank has its priveleges"
Rank is in his mind.
8
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Is Sued for Blocking Critics on Twitter
Jeffery C. Mays at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 3 hours ago
A federal appeals panel’s ruling forbidding President Trump from blocking
social media critics is being cited in two lawsuits against Ms.
Ocasio-Cortez.
Trolling is part of Republican privelege perhapse.
9
Trolling is part of Republican privelege perhapse.
9
Mississippi Politician Blocks Female Reporter From Campaign Trip
Karen Zraick at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 3 hours ago
Robert Foster, a state representative, invoked the “Billy Graham rule” of
not spending time alone with women other than one’s wife. He said photos
could be used to “insinuate an extramarital affair.”
So now we suspect he is guilty of assault on women.
10
So now we suspect he is guilty of assault on women.
10
These Companies Wanted Tariffs. How Are They Faring Now?
Peter Eavis at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 3 hours ago
President Trump’s trade policies have helped American steel, aluminum,
lumber, solar and washing-machine businesses, but not as much as they might
have hoped.
Every little bit helps.
11
Every little bit helps.
11
Houston Real Estate in June: Sales down 5% YoY, Inventory Up 11%
Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 5 hours ago
From the HAR: Houston Home Sales Fall Shy of Last June's Record, But
Continue to Outpace 2018
Despite continued strength in the Houston real estate market fueled by more
robust inventory and low interest rates, June home sales could not match
the historic levels of a year earlier, in June of 2018. According to the
latest monthly report from the Houston Association of REALTORS® (HAR),
single-family home sales were down 3.4 percent. However, on a year-to-date
basis, sales are still outpacing 2018’s record volume.
June marked the first month of 2019 with declining single-family home
s... more »
Houston, we have a problem.
12
Houston, we have a problem.
12
Federal Appeals Court Rules for Trump in Emoluments Case
Sharon LaFraniere at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 5 hours ago
The decision blocks one of two lawsuits challenging the president over
profits at his Washington hotel.
Appeals go on and on.
13
Appeals go on and on.
13
Trump Proposes Ways to Improve Care for Kidney Disease
Reed Abelson and Katie Thomas at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 5 hours ago
The administration set ambitious goals to move people out of traditional
dialysis and to encourage more organ transplants.
14
14
Amy McGrath Raises $2.5 Million in 24 Hours, Seeking to Oust McConnell
Matt Stevens at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 5 hours ago
The fund-raising haul was the most ever in the first 24 hours of a Senate
campaign. But Mr. McConnell is a formidable fund-raiser as well.
It could not happen to a more a;ppropriate senator.
15
It could not happen to a more a;ppropriate senator.
15
Amazon HQ2 Is Upending Northern Virginia’s Already Unstable Housing Market
Lola Fadulu at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 5 hours ago
Homeowners are getting bombarded by speculators asking them to sell.
Tenants are fighting rent increases. And Amazon hasn’t even started
building.
Northern Virginia volunteered.
16
Northern Virginia volunteered.
16
Merrill: "The Fed cut is on for July"
Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 6 hours ago
A few excerpts from a Merrill Lynch research note: The Fed cut is on for
July
Fed Chair Powell delivered a dovish testimony, hinting strongly at an
upcoming cut. We now expect a 25bp cut at the July 31st meeting followed by
two more cuts at the next two meetings. We are sticking with our forecast
of a cumulative 75bp of easing … The Fed seems to be willing to dismiss the
better data from the US and instead is focusing on the weaker global data.
Indeed, when Powell was asked if the strong jobs report changed his views
on cuts, he stated "no". Rather Powell emphasized that "it appear... more »
The open markets committee will meet next month.
17
The open markets committee will meet next month.
17
Fed Chair Powell: "Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress"
Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 9 hours ago
From Fed Chair Powell: Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress
Our baseline outlook is for economic growth to remain solid, labor markets
to stay strong, and inflation to move back up over time to the Committee's
2 percent objective. However, uncertainties about the outlook have
increased in recent months. In particular, economic momentum appears to
have slowed in some major foreign economies, and that weakness could affect
the U.S. economy. Moreover, a number of government policy issues have yet
to be resolved, including trade developments, the federal debt ceiling, and
B... more »
Self deception.
18
Self deception.
18
MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Latest Weekly Survey
Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 11 hours ago
From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Mortgage applications decreased 2.4 percent from one week earlier,
according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly
Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending July 5, 2019. This week’s
results include an adjustment for the Fourth of July holiday.
... The Refinance Index decreased 7 percent from the previous week and was
88 percent higher than the same week one year ago. *The seasonally adjusted
Purchase Index increased 2 percent from one week earlier*. The unadjusted
Purchase Index ... more »
A shrinking market.
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A shrinking market.
19
Ambitious Climate Plans Might Need a Radical Legislative One: Ending the Filibuster
Coral Davenport and Thomas Kaplan at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 12 hours ago
Even if Democrats win the White House and the Senate in 2020, effectively
combating climate change might require the elimination of the Senate
filibuster.
That is a bad idea. Minorities need some power.
20
That is a bad idea. Minorities need some power.
20
So You Want to Overturn Obamacare. Here Are Some Things That Would Be Headaches.
Margot Sanger-Katz at NYT > U.S. > Politics - 12 hours ago
People would lose insurance, but workplace lactation rooms, menu calorie
information and entire government programs would also be affected.
These are just the trimmings.
These are just the trimmings.
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