Thursday, September 11, 2014

@10:00, 9/11/14

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1
World

Primaries in Northeast Set the Stage for the Fall

Gina M. Raimondo, the Democratic treasurer of Rhode Island, won a convincing victory to become her party’s nominee for governor — just one of several primaries taking place across New England on Tuesday.
Primaries and Caucuses; Midterm Elections (2014); Elections, Governors; Elections, Senate; Elections, House of Representatives 

"Analysts were already predicting that if she won in November, Ms. Raimondo could go on to become a national star in the party, showing fellow Democrats that responsible policy is not necessarily bad politics, although organized labor may choose to differ."

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/09/08/us/politics/in-rhode-island-governors-race-pension-fund-draws-deep-divisions.html

"The “tough choice” was her overhaul of the state’s pension system in 2011. She marshaled the state’s Democratic political establishment to increase the retirement age, cut benefits and suspend annual cost-of-living adjustments for state employees until the finances of the underfunded system improved. The move was meant to save $4 billion over two decades and slow state property tax increases. The public approved. But her formThe “tough choice” was her overhaul of the state’s pension system in 2011. She marshaled the state’s Democratic political establishment to increase the retirement age, cut benefits and suspend annual cost-of-living adjustments for state employees until the finances of the underfunded system improved. The move was meant to save $4 billion over two decades and slow state property tax increases. The public approved. But her former allies — the state’s public employee unions — were infuriated, and the matter is being contested in court.er allies — the state’s public employee unions — were infuriated, and the matter is being contested in court." 

The policy looks proper.  It is not correct.
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/?s=austerity     
619 hits   
 http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2014/08/29/austerity-and-the-hapless-left/
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/?s=austerians
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/?s=cutting+benefits



The Raleigh Experiment


North Carolina is an interesting place these days, and I mean that in the worst possible way. It’s a southern state, but one with a major technology complex, growing foreign investment, and what seemed until recently to be a moderating, increasingly sophisticated political culture. But then came the Republican wave of 2010, and NC was taken over by right-wing radicals, who have — among other things — taken the nation’s of 2010, and NC was taken over by right-wing radicals, who have — among other things — taken the nation’s of 2010, and NC was taken over by right-wing radicals, who have — among other things — taken the nation’s hardest line in cutting benefits to the unemployed.
So how’s it going? Not well. Others have taken this issue on before me, notably Evan Soltas here and here, but I wanted to put up my own version for future reference.
The idea behind cutting benefits is that we are “paying people to be unemployed”, and that tough love will force them to go out and create jobs. It’s never explained exactly how greater desperation on the part of the unemployed will, in fact, lead to higher overall employment. Still, you could imagine that an individual state might gain some competitive advantage against other states by cutting wages. What you actually see in North Carolina, however, is nothing — employment growth tracked the national average both before and after the benefit cuts:


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The unemployment rate did fall — but this was due to a large drop in the labor force, as the number of people looking for work fell. Why? Well, a likely explanation is that some of the unemployed continued to search for work, and were therefore counted in the labor force, despite low prospects of finding a job in a depressed economy, because such search is a requirement for those collecting benefits. Take away the benefits, and they drop out. Now, labor force participation has fallen nationally as well as in North Carolina, and the state’s labor force began dropping before the benefit cuts, so that the case for claiming that reduced benefits actually reduced job search isn’t ironclad. Still, it’s worth emphasizing just how extraordinary the changes have been. North Carolina’s labor force drop has been much larger than the national change:


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And it has also been unprecedented in historical terms. There’s been nothing like the recent North Carolina decline — taking place at a time of modest recovery, not recession — in the state’s previous history:


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Credit
Again, if there were anything to the theory that cutting unemployment benefits encourages job search and somehow translates into higher employment even in a slump, harsh policies should work better at the state than at the national level. But there is no sign at all that North Carolina’s harshness has done anything except make the lives of the unemployed even more miserable.

2
Science

NASA Missions Approved to Go On

In a presentation last week, NASA said that it would continue all seven of its long-running scientific missions, if the agency found the funds to do so.
Curiosity (Mars Rover); Mars (Planet); Saturn (Planet); Space and Astronomy; Jupiter (Planet); Federal Budget (US) 

http://takingnote.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/03/13/continuing-resolution-continuing-dysfunction/
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/06/23/opinion/sunday/extreme-budget-cuts-of-2014.html
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/12/11/us/politics/party-leaders-indicate-deal-is-reached-on-budget.html
There is no hope. 

3
Science

Hopes for a Strong El Niño Fade in California

In its latest monthly forecast, the federal Climate Prediction Center said that while El Niño was still expected, it would not bring the heavy rains California needs to end its drought.
Drought; Hurricanes and Tropical Storms; El Nino Southern Oscillation; Weather 

http://www.ncep.noaa.gov/
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/expert_assessment/season_drought.png

The map does not copy.


4
World

Longtime Rivals Look to Team Up to Confront ISIS

As the United States and its allies look to fight the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria, longtime adversaries are scrambling to see if they can cooperate to defeat the rising threat.
Kurds; Muslims and Islam 

A hope rather than a fact.

5
World

Amid Intensifying Requests, American Military Aid to Ukraine Stalls

Despite appeals from the Ukrainian armed forces, the United States has provided only a modest package of nonlethal assistance to the government in Kiev, and much of it has yet to arrive.
Foreign Aid; United States Politics and Government; International Relations; Embargoes and Sanctions 

http://topics.nytimes.com/top/news/international/countriesandterritories/ukraine/index.html

6
Business Day

An Industrial Rebound

The economic turnaround in Youngstown, Ohio, is part of a transformation taking place across the heartland of the nation.
Factories and Manufacturing; Oil (Petroleum) and Gasoline 

No.   Perhaps we have a survivor.

7
U.S.

California: August Quake Claims Life

A 65-year-old woman who suffered a head injury when a television struck her during an Aug. 24 earthquake in Napa Valley has died — the first death attributed to the magnitude-6 temblor, officials said.
Earthquakes; Deaths (Fatalities) 

http://www.usgs.gov/blogs/features/usgs_top_story/magnitude-6-0-earthquake-in-california/?from=title

Map view of the location of the M6.0 - 6km NW of American Canyon, California that occurred on August 24, 2014.
Location of the M6.0 – 6km NW of American Canyon, California that occurred on August 24, 2014.

8
Sports

UConn Tops Stony Brook With Long Punt Return

With the Huskies trailing, Deshon Foxx took off for 72 yards in the third quarter to give his team the lead and the victory.
Football; College Athletics; Football (College)



Division III Player to Join Michigan

Michigan is adding a transfer, Duncan Robinson from Division III Williams College.

A Legal Titan of Sports Labor Disputes Sets His Sights on the N.C.A.A.

Jeffrey Kessler, a lawyer who helped bring free agency to the N.F.L. and the N.B.A., says his lawsuit will take down the “cartel” that controls college sports.

News From A.P. and Reuters »

Mo'ne Davis 'Sad' About UConn NCAA Violation

Women's College Basketball
No games scheduled for
Sep 11, 2014
9
Health

Training Dogs to Sniff Out Cancer

Scientists hope to isolate cancer chemicals that only dogs can smell, leading to the manufacture of nanotechnology sensors that are capable of detecting cancerous tissue.
Cancer; Dogs; Smells and Odors

A dog makes a fine cancer detector.
There is no reason to mechanize.
A next step is to get specific indications
Dogs can detect the presence of cancer.
Try to get one to distinguish a specific cancer.
If that can be done another dog could detect another cancer.
Knowing cancer or not cancer is far ahead of where we are now.  I would be happy with that.
There are wet biochemical tests.  
What I most want to know is: "should I worry?".

10
Science

Unlike Anything They Have Ever Seen Before

Two species of deep-sea dwelling, mushroom-shaped organisms discovered off the coast of Southeast Australia defy all existing classifications of life.
Fish and Other Marine Life

"One is a silly number and does not exist in nature."
Isacc Asimov.

I would start with sponges and try jelly fish.
A DNA study should be done.

11
The Upshot

Mitch McConnell’s Path to Re-election Is Looking More Assured

If there is any plausibly competitive state where we have a clear sense of the race, it is Kentucky. Prospects do not look good for the challenger.
Midterm Elections (2014); Elections, Senate

Ok, You can pick a place.  You will be there.

12
Opinion

Fixes for Japan’s Economy

Prime Minister Abe needs to postpone a tax increase and move forward with structural reforms.
Finances; Taxation

Just pay the workers most of what they earn.

13
U.S.

Detroit Clears Crucial Hurdle on Bankruptcy

The biggest opponent to Detroit’s blueprint for rising out of bankruptcy has reached an agreement with the city, court documents show, prompting an adjournment in a trial over the city’s plan.
Bankruptcies; Credit and Debt; Pensions and Retirement Plans; Suits and Litigation (Civil)

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/09/11/us/judge-agrees-to-delay-detroit-bankruptcy-trial.html

The insurance should pay.

 14
World

Another Royal Baby Is Expected for an Uneasy Kingdom

The announcement of the pregnancy set off speculation about whether it would influence a secession vote in Scotland.
Royal Family; Morning Sickness

The potential child will not be a Stuart.

15
Business Day

A Video Series Turns a Spotlight on Local Artists

Each episode opens with text that indicates that it is presented by Windstream, but contrary to what is often the case with branded content, the company is never mentioned or even obliquely evoked otherwise.
Video Recordings, Downloads and Streaming; Web-Original Programming; Online Advertising

Lexington is not Louisville.
About 50 miles separate them.
If not Lexington, half way is good.

16
Health

D.E.A. to Allow Return of Unused Pills to Pharmacies

The move by the Drug Enforcement Administration is intended to help reduced the stockpile of unused controlled drugs in homes, which until now could be handed over only to the police.
Drugs (Pharmaceuticals); Drug Abuse and Traffic; Regulation and Deregulation of Industry; Pain-Relieving Drugs

It may be as successful as gun surrender programs.

17
World

North Korea Reported to Test Short-Range Missiles

North Korea fired three short-range projectile off its east coast that landed harmlessly in the sea near Japan, South Korean military officials said.
Defense and Military Forces; Missiles and Missile Defense Systems

More noise,  mostly for domestic consumption. 

18

World

Oil Scandal Erupts Again as Brazilians Near Election

A former executive at Petrobras, now in jail, testified that many top political figures were involved in a kickback scheme, according to a magazine report.
Bribery and Kickbacks; Corruption (Institutional); Elections; Politics and Government

Mud gets around.

19
U.S.

After First Plan Is Blocked, Virginia Governor Reduces Medicaid Expansion Goals

An angry Gov. Terry McAuliffe was forced to retreat after losing a fight with the Republican-dominated General Assembly.
Medicaid; Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (2010); Health Insurance and Managed Care; State Legislatures

It is an existential problem for the G.O.P.

20
World

Ukraine Palace Is Still Emblem of Dysfunction

More than six months after protesters drove Viktor F. Yanukovych from power, his lavish estate displays how difficult it is to bring about a real break with Ukraine’s past.
Corruption (Institutional)

Burn the palace after the state museum loots it.

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