Friday, April 26, 2019

@12:53, 4/26/19

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1

Joe Biden Set to Appear on ‘The View’ Amid Criticism Over Anita Hill

MATT STEVENS at NYT > Politics - 1 hour ago
The appearance comes after a spokeswoman for Mr. Biden said he had called Ms. Hill to express his “regret,” a conversation that left Ms. Hill deeply unsatisfied.
Clarence Thomas received conscent.
"In his first sit-down interview of his presidential campaign, Joseph R. Biden Jr. on Friday repeatedly declined to directly apologize to Anita Hill for his handling of the 1991 Clarence Thomas hearings". . .

The N.R.A. Has Its Share of Problems. Trump Is Not One of Them.

KATIE ROGERS at NYT > Politics - 1 hour ago
The N.R.A. is dealing with inner turmoil, lawsuits and a newly empowered Democratic House. The president’s visit is being thought of as a needed pep talk.
Trump has received their blessing.

Biden Declares: He’s Not Your Uncle Joe

Ian Welsh at Ian Welsh - 3 hours ago
So, Biden’s in the primary. Plenty of other people are chewing up his record, which is terrible, so I’ll pass on that. Just remember that he’s the representative for fucking over poor people and minorities. I want to address something else: Uncle Joe. See, the thing is that Joe seems like a great friend, and […]
True on the record. 
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joe_Biden

Q1 GDP: Investment

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 3 hours ago
Investment was weak in Q1 (although private inventories increased). Also personal consumption expenditures (PCE) was weak (only increased at a 1.2% annual rate). The first graph below shows the contribution to GDP from residential investment, equipment and software, and nonresidential structures (3 quarter trailing average). This is important to follow because residential investment tends to lead the economy, equipment and software is generally coincident, and nonresidential structure investment trails the economy. In the graph, red is residential, green is equipment and software,... more » 
It all looks down.

BEA: Real GDP increased at 3.2% Annualized Rate in Q1

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 4 hours ago
From the BEA: Gross Domestic Product, First Quarter 2019 (Advance Estimate) Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of *3.2 percent in the first quarter of 2019*, according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter of 2018, real GDP increased 2.2 percent.... The increase in real GDP in the first quarter reflected positive contributions from personal consumption expenditures (PCE), private inventory investment, exports, state and local government spending, and nonresidential fixed investment. Imports, which are... more » 

Someone is spending.
  6

Trump and Abe Meet as Japan and U.S. Try to Reach Trade Deal

ANA SWANSON and MOTOKO RICH at NYT > Politics - 5 hours ago
A bilateral trade deal could give American farmers and ranchers access to Japan’s market, but the United States may have to agree to some concessions.

Conditional surrender by Japan.

U.S. Economy Grew at 3.2% Rate in First Quarter

BEN CASSELMAN at NYT > Politics - 5 hours ago
The report indicates that the 10-year recovery retains momentum, despite recent fears that the year was off to a slow start.

Blip.

5 hours ago
Unexpectedly high GDP number, but it looks mostly like an inventory blip. These things have happened before -- for example, in 4th quarter 2009, which came in at 4.5% growth. And yes, I called it a blip at the time

On Politics: ‘Sorry’ Is Not Enough, Anita Hill Says

NYT > Politics - 9 hours ago
Joe Biden called Ms. Hill to express regret about the Clarence Thomas hearings in 1991, but she told The Times she could not support his presidential candidacy.

The Times got the quote.

" A panel of three federal judges ruled on Thursday that 34 congressional and state legislative districts in Michigan are unconstitutional partisan gerrymanders. The judges ordered state lawmakers to redraw maps in time for elections in 2020."

Michigan turns blue.

Friday: Q1 GDP

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 16 hours ago
From Goldman Sachs today on Q1 GDP: We boosted our Q1 GDP forecast by two tenths to *+2.6% (qoq ar)* ahead of tomorrow’s advance release, reflecting the firm pace of durable inventory growth and the surprising rebound in commercial aircraft shipments in March. emphasis added Friday: • At 8:30 AM ET, *Gross Domestic Product, 1st quarter 2019* (Advance estimate). The consensus is that real GDP increased 2.0% annualized in Q1, down from 2.2% in Q4. • At 10:00 AM, *University of Michigan's Consumer sentiment index* (Final for April). The consensus is for a reading of 97.1.

Blip.

10 

North Korea Demanded $2 Million Before Releasing Comatose U.S. Student

EDWARD WONG at NYT > Politics - 17 hours ago
The bill for the medical care of Otto F. Warmbier, who was in a coma while being detained, was passed to the Treasury Department, but it is unclear if the Trump administration paid it.

Adding insult to injury.

The Soviet Union billed the familly for the firing squad's amunition.

11 

Trump Says Xi Jinping of China Will Visit Soon, Stirring Anticipation of a Completed Trade Deal

ANA SWANSON at NYT > Politics - 17 hours ago
The president has suggested in the past that Mr. Xi would travel to the United States for a signing ceremony once the countries have a final deal.

Fix a date.

12 

5 Questions That Will Determine if Joe Biden Can Succeed

JONATHAN MARTIN and ALEXANDER BURNS at NYT > Politics - 17 hours ago
Perhaps more than any other presidential front-runner in modern history, he begins his bid confronting deep skepticism from friend and foe alike that he can capture his party’s nomination.

These questions define the field of candidates.

13 

On Politics With Lisa Lerer: Biden’s Campaign Will Test These 4 Ideas

MATT FLEGENHEIMER at NYT > Politics - 17 hours ago
In the On Politics newsletter: Now that Mr. Biden has entered the race, we will see whether assumptions around his support, his past and his gaffes prove true.

The rot in U.S. politics is the Republican party.

14 

As Democrats Agonize, G.O.P. Is at Peace With Doing Nothing on Mueller’s Findings

GLENN THRUSH at NYT > Politics - 17 hours ago
As Democrats fret over impeachment, Senate Republicans who would be the jury on an impeachment trial see nothing of import in the Mueller report and its tales of potential obstruction.

True.

15 

Joe Biden Expresses Regret to Anita Hill, but She Says ‘I’m Sorry’ Is Not Enough

SHERYL GAY STOLBERG and CARL HULSE at NYT > Politics - 18 hours ago
Former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. called Anita Hill this month to express his regret over “what she endured” testifying against Justice Clarence Thomas in 1991.

I see no way to make Anita Hill whole at this time.
The Chief Justice post is filled.

16 

Interior Dept. Delays Its Plan to Open U.S. Coastline to Drilling

CORAL DAVENPORT at NYT > Politics - 18 hours ago
The decision is a setback to one of the Trump administration's signature plans to encourage oil production as part of its "energy dominance" policy.

Fossil carbon production is an error.

17 

Merrill April Employment Report Forecast: 250K, 3.7%

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 20 hours ago
A few brief excerpts from a Merrill Lynch research note: We look for nonfarm payroll employment growth of 250k in the April Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) employment report, to be released on May 3rd. … we think the strong job growth should put further downward pressure on the unemployment rate and look for it to decline to 3.7% from 3.8%. … we look for wage growth to return back to the recent trend and forecast that average hourly earnings growth of 0.3% mom

"garbage in; garbage out"
 
 18

Why Ilhan Omar Is Making Headlines

NYT > Politics - 21 hours ago
Representative Ilhan Omar has only been in Congress for a few months, but the barrier-breaking Democrat from Minnesota is gaining attention from across the political spectrum and has become a target of the president.

Ilhan Omar practices Islam.

19  

On Washington: Trump’s Stonewalling Takes Clash Between Branches to a New Level

CARL HULSE at NYT > Politics - 23 hours ago
“There are no rules anymore in Washington,” a Republican ex-House member from Virginia said, after saying he wasn’t surprised by the White House’s hard-line stance that it would not respect subpoenas.

Congress ultimately controls.

20 

Kansas City Fed: "Tenth District Manufacturing Activity Grew More Modestly"

Calculated Risk at Calculated Risk - 1 day ago
From the Kansas City Fed: Tenth District Manufacturing Activity Grew More Modestly The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City released the April Manufacturing Survey today. According to Chad Wilkerson, vice president and economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, the survey revealed that Tenth District manufacturing activity grew more modestly, but expectations for future activity remained generally solid. “Regional factory growth in April was a bit weaker than in March, but similar to previous months,” said Wilkerson. “About a third of firms noted that flooding and extreme... more » 

  Hopeful noise.

https://twitter.com/paulkrugman

Blip.





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