Friday, May 11, 2012

@ - - - 5/11/12

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Shepherding Germans ?

They do seem to need it.

Our country has difficulty understanding separation of church and state.
Schenska.


http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financialcrisis/

Greece in crisis as talks fail for third time

Greece's wrangling politicians have again failed to form a new coalition government, leaving only one more meeting with the country's president before new elections are scheduled for June.
11 May 2012
| 10 Comments
No deal.  No Euro. 

Spain's most indebted village pays the price

East of Madrid stands village of Pioz, which has the dubious titled of most indebted place Spain, writes Fiona Govan.
11 May 2012

Debt crisis: as it happened - May 11, 2012

The Spanish government has told banks they must increase their provisions against property loans from 7pc to 30pc, meaning they must raise another €30bn.
11 May 2012
| 359 Comments

Spanish banks given 15 days to plan how to raise €30bn

Spanish banks have been given 15 days to submit plans to meet an obligatory €30bn recapitalisation, or face nationalisation.
11 May 2012
| 14 Comments

Spanish banks need €100bn

Spain announced drastic reforms this afternoon to force banks to set aside a new €30bn (£24.1bn) financial cushion and to separate property assets from their balance sheets.
11 May 2012
| 3 Comments
http://www.spiegel.de/international/topic/euro_crisis/


Bankia Bailout: Spain Struggles to Control Escalating Bank Crisis

Bankia Bailout Spain Struggles to Control Escalating Bank Crisis

SPIEGEL ONLINE - May 11, 2012 This week's move by Spain to nationalize the country's fourth-largest bank almost overnight is just the latest in a financial sector crisis that has been growing since the Spanish real estate bubble burst. It is likely to increase calls for Madrid to accept financial aid from its European partners. By David Böcking more... Forum ]
The World from Berlin: 'High Inflation Causes Societies to Disintegrate'

The World from Berlin 'High Inflation Causes Societies to Disintegrate'

SPIEGEL ONLINE - May 11, 2012 A comment by a top Bundesbank official that Germany may be prepared to tolerate slightly higher inflation has caused alarm in the country, where many still fear 1920s-style hyperinflation. While some German commentators stoke the flames of the debate, others say there is no need to panic. more... Forum ]
The World from Berlin: Grexit Would Be 'Regrettable, But Not Fatal'

The World from Berlin Grexit Would Be 'Regrettable, But Not Fatal'

SPIEGEL ONLINE - May 10, 2012 With Greece apparently unable to form a government and the leader of one party rejecting the country's bailout commitments, warnings are growing across Europe that Athens may have to leave the euro zone. German editorialists say it would be a shame but probably wouldn't mean the end of the common currency. more...
Breaking a German Taboo: Bundesbank Prepared to Accept Higher Inflation

Breaking a German Taboo Bundesbank Prepared to Accept Higher Inflation

SPIEGEL ONLINE - May 10, 2012 Germany's central bank has indicated it may tolerate higher inflation in Germany as the price of rebalancing economies within the euro zone. The move marks a major shift away from the Bundesbank's hardline approach on price stability. Economists have hailed the decision as a "breakthrough." more... Forum ]
Too Poor for Stimulus? Europe Eyes Shift from Austerity to Growth

Too Poor for Stimulus? Europe Eyes Shift from Austerity to Growth

SPIEGEL ONLINE - May 10, 2012 After two years of austerity, growth is suddenly back in fashion in Europe, following calls by the incoming French president, François Hollande, for measures to boost the economy. But the EU's planned "growth pact" is likely to be too small to help the crisis-hit countries of southern Europe. By Carsten Volkery more... Forum ]
'No Alternative' To Austerity: German Leaders Threaten End to Greek Aid

'No Alternative' To Austerity German Leaders Threaten End to Greek Aid

SPIEGEL ONLINE - May 09, 2012 The Greek left-wing politician tasked with forming a new government after the country's parliamentary elections has called the Greek bailout agreement invalid. Several German leaders responded Wednesday by demanding that Greece stick to the negotiated austerity measures if it wants to receive future international financial aid.  more...



http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/05/11/macroeconomic-morality/

"May 11, 2012, 2:23 pm

Macroeconomic Morality

A brief postscript to today’s column: contrary to what some people may think, I don’t regard anyone who disagrees with me as necessarily a mendacious idiot. Economics is hard, and people will disagree. Sometimes people will give advice with the best of intentions that turns out, in hindsight, to have been disastrous; that’s a tragedy but not a sin.
But here’s what is indeed a sin: choosing your position based on what is personally convenient.
I may make jokes along the way – I kind of need to in order to stay sane – but the stuff I write about is extremely serious; there’s a vast human tragedy taking place, and anyone who has the ear of the public has a duty to make a good-faith effort to get it as right as he can.
Yet all too many players in this game, very much including economists and public officials, very obviously haven’t been making that good faith effort. They’ve seized on dubious arguments, touted obviously weak evidence as definitive, looked for excuses either not to act themselves or for their friends not to act. And invariably the thrust of these bad arguments is to comfort the comfortable and give them license to afflict the afflicted.
I like to think that I have enough integrity to change my views when it becomes clear that they were wrong. Maybe, maybe not — although it’s probably worth pointing out that I didn’t believe in the liquidity trap and was pretty down on old-fashioned Keynesianism until 1998, when a hard look at Japan and an attempt to understand what was happening there led me to change my mind. Anyway, I try, because the ideas of economists and political philosophers matter.
And too many people aren’t trying, which is, as I said, a sin."

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/05/11/austerity-safety-nets-and-spending/

"May 11, 2012, 2:34 pm

Austerity, Safety Nets, and Spending

The latest in the attempt to make excuses for the abject failure of austerity is the claim that European countries didn’t really practice austerity after all. This is mainly coming from the usual suspects – the people who, for example, used Census hiring to claim that Obama was presiding over a vast expansion of government employment. (What will it take for pundits to realize that if Veronique de Rugy, for example, cites a number you can pretty much assume that it’s wrong?) But I have to say that the responses I’ve seen have been surprisingly weak – some people who should know better are conceding the point that maybe there haven’t been big spending cuts. Yes, there have.
For the fact is that you can’t just look at spending levels to ask what is happening to spending programs. Here in the United States spending on unemployment insurance and food stamps has risen sharply, not because the welfare state has expanded, but because a lot more people are unemployed and poor. Similar effects are at work in European countries, which have stronger safety nets than we do. Also, some spending represents banking bailouts, not exactly what people have in mind when they talk about big government.

So let’s take a look at the example of Ireland. (All data from OECD). Here’s total spending in millions of euros, which might look as if there’s not much austerity:
But let’s parse it a bit. First off, there’s “capital transfers” – basically bank bailouts. These bulged in 2010, but continued into 2011:
Then there’s “social transfers”, which includes means-tested programs and unemployment benefits. These are up, but not because the programs became more generous; instead, they reflect the dire state of the Irish economy:
Finally, there’s government spending on consumption and investment:
So yes, Ireland has done austerity – some of it on the tax side, but much of it on the spending side. The same is true in Greece, Portugal, and Spain. Don’t believe the usual suspects when they say different. In fact, don’t believe the usual suspects when they say anything at all."

"When you owe the bank a thousand dollars and can't pay, you have a problem.
When you owe the bank a billion dollars and can't pay, the bank has a problem."      Old joke.
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