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1
Ernst Struggles in Iowa as Republicans Battle to Hold Senate Amid Trump’s Woes
Luke Broadwater, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 1 hour ago
Senator Joni Ernst, the first woman to represent Iowa in Congress, is
facing the same headwinds plaguing President Trump, who is lagging in the
state in part because of deep disadvantage among women.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/iowa/
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/senate/iowa/
Update in progress.
2
Federal Appeals Courts Emerge as Crucial for Trump in Voting Cases
Jim Rutenberg and Rebecca R. Ruiz, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 4 hours ago
Federal district courts have tended to rule for Democrats in litigation
over how to run the election, but appeals courts, well stocked with the
president’s nominees, are blocking them.
All conservatives are not Trump partisans.
3
Young Joe Biden and His Non-Radical 1960s
Matt Flegenheimer and Katie Glueck, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 4 hours ago
Trump has called Biden a tool of leftist agitators. Friends say that has
never much been his way, even as a young man surrounded by protest.
A trusted student deferment can do that.
4
Georgia at a Tipping Point
Giovanni Russonello, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 5 hours ago
After several near misses, Democrats can taste victory in Georgia — and
Republicans fear President Trump’s lackluster numbers may drag down the
party’s Senate candidates with him.
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2020/presidential-polls-trump-biden
5
Biden Town Hall Leads Trump in Ratings Battle
Michael M. Grynbaum and John Koblin, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 5 hours ago
Nielsen figures showed Joseph R. Biden Jr. drawing 15.1 million viewers,
against 13.5 million for President Trump, a ratings obsessive.
Word salad is not attractive.
6
Military Names Air Force Judge for Guantánamo Bay 9/11 Trial. But There’s a Snag.
Carol Rosenberg, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 7 hours ago
The latest judge assigned to the long-running death penalty case is based
in Virginia and has had a military career focused on defense work, but he
has been on the bench for less than two years.
Torture is also a war crime.
7
In Kalamazoo, Old High School Classmates Reckon With a Divided Country
Jennifer Steinhauer, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 8 hours ago
The Michigan city, like the state, is a battleground of cultural and racial
tensions. I should know: I grew up there.
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2020/10/17/us/trump-vs-biden
Michigan is waking up.
8
Trump’s Nominee Gets a Hearing and the Town Hall Divide: This Week in the 2020 Race
Astead W. Herndon and Annie Karni, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 11 hours ago
Judge Amy Coney Barrett’s Supreme Court confirmation hearing unfolded on
Capitol Hill while President Trump and Joe Biden participated in dueling
town hall events.
Amy Coney Barrett should not be a justice on the supreme court.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marbury_v._Madison
Marbury_v._Madison is not understood by texturalists.
9
‘Please Like Me,’ Trump Begged. For Many Women, It’s Way Too Late.
Lisa Lerer, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 13 hours ago
The white suburban voters the president needs to carve a path to victory
have turned away from him, for deeply personal reasons.
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2020/10/17/us/trump-vs-biden
10
A Regulatory Rush by Federal Agencies to Secure Trump’s Legacy
Eric Lipton, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 14 hours ago
With the president’s re-election in doubt, cabinet departments are
scrambling to finish dozens of new rules affecting millions of Americans.
A silly worry. These rules will be reversed with a memo.
11
Open Thread
Ian Welsh, Ian Welsh - 15 hours ago
Feel free to use the comments to discuss topics unrelated to recent posts.
Sooner is better. As soon as you can is best.
12
In Reversal, Twitter Is No Longer Blocking New York Post Article
Kate Conger and Mike Isaac, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 20 hours ago
The latest change underlined how rapidly social media platforms are
shifting their positions in the days leading up to the election.
Twitter and Facebook should be broken.
13
Trump Calls $421 Million Debt 'a Peanut,' but Challenges Lie Ahead
Russ Buettner and Susanne Craig, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 20 hours ago
The president on Thursday played down big loans he guaranteed for his
struggling businesses. But much of that debt is soon to come due in the
midst of declining revenue and an I.R.S. audit that could cost him over
$100 million.
Trump inc. is imploding.
Trump's pension should be garnisheed.
14
$421 Million in Debt: Trump Calls It ‘a Peanut,’ but Challenges Lie Ahead
Russ Buettner and Susanne Craig, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 20 hours ago
The president on Thursday played down big loans he guaranteed for his
struggling businesses. But much of that debt is soon to come due in the
midst of declining revenue and an I.R.S. audit that could cost him over
$100 million.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aflatoxin
15
Third Justice Dept. Prosecutor Publicly Denounces Barr
Katie Benner, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 20 hours ago
The prosecutor also said he retired after staying on to protect a public
corruption case against a Republican congressman.
Pay attention.
16
Fearing a ‘Blood Bath,’ Republican Senators Begin to Edge Away From Trump
Catie Edmondson, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 21 hours ago
The statements offer an answer to the question of when Republicans might
begin to repudiate the president after years of embracing him: the moment
they believed he threatened their own political survival.
The rats are fleeing the sinking ship.
17
U.S. Budget Deficit Hit $3.1 Trillion Amid Virus Spending Surge
Alan Rappeport, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 23 hours ago
A surge in spending, combined with falling tax receipts have sent the
deficit soaring, complicating plans for additional stimulus.
The debt will triple before the crisis is over or people will starve and freeze in the streets.
18
In Ohio, a Printing Company Is Overwhelmed and Mail Ballots Are Delayed
Reid J. Epstein, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 1 day ago
The company was until recently flying a “Trump 2020’’ flag over its
Cleveland headquarters. The problems it has had underscore the stress that
mail voting has put on the nation’s election process amid the pandemic.
Hire more capacity.
19
Alaska Is More Competitive, but Republicans Still Lead in Polls
Nate Cohn, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 1 day ago
A fondness for minor-party candidates injects some uncertainty, making the
state an unlikely late-stage battleground.
Alaska is not winnable at this stage.
20
Are Ballot Selfies Legal?
Valeriya Safronova, NYT > U.S. > Politics - 1 day ago
Showing your ballot to anyone, including your Instagram followers, is
against the law in New York and several other states. So … maybe not!
It should not be legal to get paid for the picture.
Buying votes is a crime.
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